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Como v Parma

2026-09-13 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Como (Local)

Prediction 73.73%1.36fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -5.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.39%73.68%73.68%75.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.271.291.3384.03%78.64%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Parma (Visit)

Prediction 8.42%11.87fair odd
EV +9.48%
Edge +0.729%
Kelly +0.790%
Growth +0.075%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.24%8.38%8.40%10.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.8510.8813.0011.76%9.22%9.20%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.85%5.60fair odd
EV +7.12%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.101%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.70%17.94%17.91%19.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.185.256.0021.05%19.30%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Como (Local): 73.73%; Parma (Visit): 8.42%; Draw: 17.85%. For Parma (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.87. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 13.00, producing a positive expected value of +9.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.84%E -6.27%K -31.37%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -11.58%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +7.12%E +1.19%K +1.42%G +0.101%6.2%2026-08-30 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -8.58%E -6.92%K -35.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -20.00%E -2.11%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -0.021%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 15:20
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 74.05%EV -1.95%E -1.46%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 8.01%EV +3.58%E +0.291%K +0.317%G +0.011%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.94%EV -1.98%E -0.362%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-30 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.16%E -3.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.02%EV +1.06%E +0.088%K +0.096%G +0.001%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.98%EV -4.48%E -0.838%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -6.37%E -5.01%K -23.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +1.06%E +0.088%K +0.096%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -5.38%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.96%EV -8.58%E -6.92%K -35.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -11.58%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -5.38%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.07%EV -3.42%E -2.61%K -11.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -7.37%E -0.670%K -0.737%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.23%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:10
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -4.16%E -3.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -7.37%E -0.670%K -0.737%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -4.16%E -3.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -7.37%E -0.670%K -0.737%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.64%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV -3.16%E -0.274%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.79%EV -5.63%E -4.40%K -20.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV -3.16%E -0.274%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.50%EV -7.84%E -6.27%K -31.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.06%E +0.088%K +0.096%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -8.58%E -6.92%K -35.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -15.79%E -1.58%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -10.06%E -8.24%K -45.71%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.43%EV -9.47%E -0.881%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.79%EV -4.16%E -3.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -11.58%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.79%EV -4.16%E -3.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -11.58%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.19%EV -12.27%E -10.31%K -64.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.83%EV -15.79%E -1.58%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 15:20
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.23%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +1.06%E +0.088%K +0.096%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:10
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.16%E -3.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -15.79%E -1.58%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.84%E -6.27%K -31.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -7.37%E -0.670%K -0.737%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -10.06%E -8.24%K -45.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -7.37%E -0.670%K -0.737%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.15%EV -11.53%E -9.61%K -57.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV -28.42%E -3.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.67%EV -12.52%E -2.55%K -3.21%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-30 15:20
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.39%EV -4.16%E -3.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -15.79%E -1.58%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.39%EV -4.16%E -3.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -15.79%E -1.58%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.39%EV -4.16%E -3.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -15.79%E -1.58%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.95%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +9.48%E +0.729%K +0.790%G +0.075%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -15.20%E -3.20%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 70.96%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.30%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%6.8%2026-08-30 19:15
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 71.43%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%16.7%2026-08-30 15:50
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.46%1xBet 1.33 (75.5%) / PointsBet (AU) 13.00 (7.7%) / Tipico (DE) 6.00 (16.7%)Show all 2 combinations
Como (Local)Parma (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 1.33 (75.5%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 13.00 (7.7%)Tipico (DE)🎯 6.00 (16.7%)+0.455%
1xBet🎯 1.33 (75.2%)1xBet🎯 12.30 (8.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 6.00 (16.7%)+0.015%