Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Como v Parma

Inizio: 2026-09-13 13:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Como (Casa)

Previsione 71.72%1.39quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -1.80%
Kelly -6.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.62%71.84%71.74%75.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.311.331.3683.33%76.24%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Parma (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.51%10.52quota equa
EV +23.63%
Vantaggio +1.82%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescita +0.465%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.24%9.38%9.46%10.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.009.669.5013.0012.50%10.36%10.53%7.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 18.77%5.33quota equa
EV +5.09%
Vantaggio +0.909%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescita +0.056%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.73%18.78%18.80%21.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.254.894.805.6023.53%20.46%20.83%17.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Como (Casa): 71.72%; Parma (Trasferta): 9.51%; Pareggio: 18.77%. Per Parma (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 10.52. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 13.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +23.63%.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.95%EV -7.48%E -5.79%K -25.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +23.63%E +1.82%K +1.97%G +0.465%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +14.12%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.181%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV +5.09%E +0.909%K +1.11%G +0.056%4.9%2026-08-30 15:20
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 72.37%EV -2.45%E -1.80%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.95%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.68%EV -1.10%E -0.210%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-31 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.56%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.76%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.68%EV +2.27%E +0.417%K +0.511%G +0.012%3.8%2026-09-06 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.02%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 11:00
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.32%EV -3.89%E -2.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.149%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71%EV -14.62%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.32%EV -3.89%E -2.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.149%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71%EV -14.62%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.31%EV -11.06%E -8.92%K -46.09%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.87%EV -2.53%E -0.246%K -0.273%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -4.29%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 10:58
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.19%EV -7.48%E -5.79%K -25.78%G +0.000%10.09I 9.91%NM 9.36%EV -4.05%E -0.401%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.45%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.345%G +0.005%5.9%2026-09-06 09:45
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 21:25
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -8.05%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.46%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.42%E -0.465%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 10:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.78%EV -13.93%E -11.61%K -69.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -4.29%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.29%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.73%EV -7.28%E -0.747%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.82%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 21:20
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.82%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 21:20
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 21:19
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -10.34%E -8.28%K -41.38%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +3.21%E +0.584%K +0.714%G +0.023%8.7%2026-08-30 21:40
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.27%EV -2.45%E -1.80%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 06:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -9.92%E -2.07%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 21:20
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 22:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 07:25
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 00:40
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.50%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -9.92%E -2.07%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:10
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.80%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -18.37%E -4.22%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 13:05
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.53%EV -7.48%E -5.79%K -25.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -11.80%E -2.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 20:08
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.62%EV -5.32%E -4.03%K -16.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -20.25%E -4.76%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 02:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.52%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.73%EV -16.79%E -1.92%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 21:20
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.52%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.73%EV -16.79%E -1.92%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 21:20
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -19.17%E -2.26%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 06:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -19.17%E -2.26%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 06:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -19.17%E -2.26%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 06:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 71.26%EV -13.21%E -10.92%K -62.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.78%EV -23.92%E -2.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.96%EV -9.92%E -2.07%K -2.61%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-30 21:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 69.83%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.32%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%6.1%2026-08-31 14:50
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 67.68%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.80%17.3%2026-09-01 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 38.97%1.10I 90.91%NM 47.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 13.56%91.5%2026-09-02 09:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 38.97%1.10I 90.91%NM 47.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 13.56%91.5%2026-09-02 09:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 38.28%1.06I 94.34%NM 48.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 13.32%94.9%2026-09-02 09:35