Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Como v Parma

2026-09-13 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Como (Casa)

Previsione 73.76%1.36quota equa
EV -1.89%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -5.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.39%73.77%73.68%75.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.191.271.291.3384.03%78.69%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Parma (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.51%11.75quota equa
EV +4.64%
Vantaggio +0.378%
Kelly +0.411%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.76%8.52%8.53%10.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.5010.7610.7512.3011.76%9.29%9.30%8.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 17.73%5.64quota equa
EV +6.37%
Vantaggio +1.06%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescita +0.081%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.70%17.71%17.79%19.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.205.256.0020.83%19.24%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Como (Casa): 73.76%; Parma (Trasferta): 8.51%; Pareggio: 17.73%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.64. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 6.00, con un valore atteso positivo del +6.37%.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.18%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.67%E -1.02%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +6.37%E +1.06%K +1.27%G +0.081%6.2%2026-08-30 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -8.53%E -6.88%K -35.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -19.18%E -2.02%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -0.720%E -0.129%K -0.156%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 15:20
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 74.05%EV -1.89%E -1.42%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 8.01%EV +4.64%E +0.378%K +0.411%G +0.019%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.94%EV -2.67%E -0.486%K -0.595%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-30 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.02%EV +2.09%E +0.174%K +0.190%G +0.004%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.98%EV -5.15%E -0.963%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -6.32%E -4.98%K -23.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +2.09%E +0.174%K +0.190%G +0.004%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.96%EV -8.53%E -6.88%K -35.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -10.67%E -1.02%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.07%EV -3.37%E -2.57%K -10.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -6.42%E -0.583%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.23%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:10
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -6.42%E -0.583%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -6.42%E -0.583%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.64%EV -4.84%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV -2.16%E -0.188%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.79%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV -2.16%E -0.188%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.50%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.18%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +2.09%E +0.174%K +0.190%G +0.004%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -8.53%E -6.88%K -35.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -14.92%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -10.01%E -8.20%K -45.49%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.43%EV -8.54%E -0.795%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.79%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -10.67%E -1.02%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.79%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -10.67%E -1.02%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.19%EV -12.22%E -10.27%K -64.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.83%EV -14.92%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 15:20
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.23%EV -4.84%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +2.09%E +0.174%K +0.190%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:10
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -14.92%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.42%E -0.583%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -10.01%E -8.20%K -45.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -6.42%E -0.583%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.15%EV -11.48%E -9.57%K -57.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV -27.68%E -3.26%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.67%EV -13.13%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-30 15:20
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.39%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -14.92%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.39%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -14.92%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.39%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -14.92%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 16:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.51%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.86%5.8%2026-08-30 19:30
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 71.43%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%16.7%2026-08-30 15:50
Arbitraggio (1 combinazione) +0.02%1xBet 1.33 (75.2%) / 1xBet 12.30 (8.1%) / Tipico (DE) 6.00 (16.7%)Mostra dettagli
Como (Casa)Parma (Trasferta)PareggioMargine
1xBet🎯 1.33 (75.2%)1xBet🎯 12.30 (8.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 6.00 (16.7%)+0.015%