Langue:Français
Como v Parma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Como (Local)
Prévision 71.72%1.39cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -6.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.62%71.84%71.74%75.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.311.331.3683.33%76.24%75.19%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Parma (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.51%10.52cote équitable
EV +23.63%
Avantage +1.82%
Kelly +1.97%
Croissance +0.465%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.24%9.38%9.46%10.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.009.669.5013.0012.50%10.36%10.53%7.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 18.77%5.33cote équitable
EV +5.09%
Avantage +0.909%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.056%
avec la cote maximale 5.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.73%18.78%18.80%21.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.254.894.805.6023.53%20.46%20.83%17.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Como (Local) : 71.72% ; Parma (Visiteur) : 9.51% ; Match nul : 18.77%. Pour Parma (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.52. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.00, soit une espérance positive de +23.63%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.95%EV -7.48%E -5.79%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +23.63%E +1.82%K +1.97%G +0.465% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +14.12%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.181% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV +5.09%E +0.909%K +1.11%G +0.056% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.37%EV -2.45%E -1.80%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.95%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.68%EV -1.10%E -0.210%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.56%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.76%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.68%EV +2.27%E +0.417%K +0.511%G +0.012% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.02%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.32%EV -3.89%E -2.90%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.149%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71%EV -14.62%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.32%EV -3.89%E -2.90%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.149%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71%EV -14.62%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.31%EV -11.06%E -8.92%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.87%EV -2.53%E -0.246%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -4.29%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-31 10:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.19%EV -7.48%E -5.79%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 10.09I 9.91%NM 9.36%EV -4.05%E -0.401%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.45%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.345%G +0.005% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -8.05%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.46%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.42%E -0.465%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.78%EV -13.93%E -11.61%K -69.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -4.29%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.29%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.73%EV -7.28%E -0.747%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.82%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.82%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -10.34%E -8.28%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +3.21%E +0.584%K +0.714%G +0.023% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.27%EV -2.45%E -1.80%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 06:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -9.92%E -2.07%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 07:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.50%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -9.92%E -2.07%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.80%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -18.37%E -4.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.53%EV -7.48%E -5.79%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -11.80%E -2.51%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 20:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.62%EV -5.32%E -4.03%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -20.25%E -4.76%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-03 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.52%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.73%EV -16.79%E -1.92%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.52%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.73%EV -16.79%E -1.92%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -19.17%E -2.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -19.17%E -2.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -19.17%E -2.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.26%EV -13.21%E -10.92%K -62.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.78%EV -23.92%E -2.99%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.96%EV -9.92%E -2.07%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-08-30 21:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.83% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.32% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 67.68% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.80% | 17.3% | 2026-09-01 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 38.97% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 47.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 13.56% | 91.5% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 38.97% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 47.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 13.56% | 91.5% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 38.28% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 48.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 13.32% | 94.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |