语言:简体中文
Como v Parma
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Como (主队)
预测 71.72%1.39公平赔率
EV -2.45%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -6.82%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.36
博彩公司预测分布
68.62%71.84%71.74%75.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.311.331.3683.33%76.24%75.19%73.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
Parma (客队)
预测 9.51%10.52公平赔率
EV +23.63%
优势 +1.82%
Kelly +1.97%
增长率 +0.465%
假设最高赔率为 13.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.24%9.38%9.46%10.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.669.5013.0012.50%10.36%10.53%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 18.77%5.33公平赔率
EV +5.09%
优势 +0.909%
Kelly +1.11%
增长率 +0.056%
假设最高赔率为 5.60
博彩公司预测分布
16.73%18.78%18.80%21.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.254.894.805.6023.53%20.46%20.83%17.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Como (主队)：71.72%；Parma (客队)：9.51%；平局：18.77%。 对于“Parma (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.52。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为13.00，对应+23.63%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.95%EV -7.48%E -5.79%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +23.63%E +1.82%K +1.97%G +0.465% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +14.12%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.181% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV +5.09%E +0.909%K +1.11%G +0.056% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.37%EV -2.45%E -1.80%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.95%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.68%EV -1.10%E -0.210%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.56%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.76%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.68%EV +2.27%E +0.417%K +0.511%G +0.012% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.02%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.32%EV -3.89%E -2.90%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.149%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71%EV -14.62%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.32%EV -3.89%E -2.90%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.149%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71%EV -14.62%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.31%EV -11.06%E -8.92%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.87%EV -2.53%E -0.246%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -4.29%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-31 10:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.19%EV -7.48%E -5.79%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 10.09I 9.91%NM 9.36%EV -4.05%E -0.401%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.45%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.345%G +0.005% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -8.05%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.46%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.42%E -0.465%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.78%EV -13.93%E -11.61%K -69.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -4.29%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.29%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.73%EV -7.28%E -0.747%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.82%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.82%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -10.34%E -8.28%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +3.21%E +0.584%K +0.714%G +0.023% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.27%EV -2.45%E -1.80%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 06:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -9.92%E -2.07%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 07:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.17%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.50%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -9.92%E -2.07%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.80%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -18.37%E -4.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.53%EV -7.48%E -5.79%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -11.80%E -2.51%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 20:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.62%EV -5.32%E -4.03%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -20.25%E -4.76%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-03 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.52%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.73%EV -16.79%E -1.92%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.52%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.73%EV -16.79%E -1.92%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.86%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -19.17%E -2.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -19.17%E -2.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -19.17%E -2.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.68%E -2.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.26%EV -13.21%E -10.92%K -62.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.78%EV -23.92%E -2.99%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.96%EV -9.92%E -2.07%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-08-30 21:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.83% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.32% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 67.68% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.80% | 17.3% | 2026-09-01 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 38.97% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 47.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 13.56% | 91.5% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 38.97% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 47.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 13.56% | 91.5% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 38.28% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 48.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 13.32% | 94.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |