The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cagliari v Juventus

2026-10-11 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cagliari (Local)

Prediction 14.92%6.70fair odd
EV +4.44%
Edge +0.634%
Kelly +0.740%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.64%14.96%14.99%17.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.166.057.0020.00%16.24%16.53%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juventus (Visit)

Prediction 62.98%1.59fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.85%62.97%62.81%64.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.481.481.5671.94%67.44%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.10%4.53fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.474%
Kelly -0.612%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.40%22.07%22.21%23.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.164.104.4325.32%24.06%24.39%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cagliari (Local): 14.92%; Juventus (Visit): 62.98%; Draw: 22.10%. For Cagliari (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.70. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.00, producing a positive expected value of +4.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +4.44%E +0.634%K +0.740%G +0.033%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 16:20
1xBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%EV +1.45%E +0.214%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.23%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 22.27%EV -2.10%E -0.474%K -0.612%G +0.000%1.4%2026-09-16 19:55
NordicBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV +1.45%E +0.214%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -10.50%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +0.707%E +0.105%K +0.123%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 16:20
Pinnacle🎯6.64I 15.06%NM 14.26%EV -0.934%E -0.141%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.97%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.48%EV -1.53%E -0.232%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.29%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -3.02%E -0.465%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:56
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -3.02%E -0.465%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -3.02%E -0.465%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -3.02%E -0.465%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -3.02%E -0.465%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 19:55
Grosvenor🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -4.51%E -0.705%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 13:51
Codere (IT)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.41%EV -7.50%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.87%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 19:55
BetRivers🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.99%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 13:51
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.99%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 13:55
Bally Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.99%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.48%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.48%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.48%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 13:56
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.48%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 13:55
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.48%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 13:51
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.48%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 14:31
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.48%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 14:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.48%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.48%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 14:31
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -13.47%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.71%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 13:56
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -13.47%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.71%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 13:51
Unibet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -14.96%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.18%EV -12.46%E -8.96%K -31.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-16 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -16.45%E -2.94%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 19:55
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.35%EV -16.45%E -2.94%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -16.45%E -2.94%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-16 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 16.63%EV -22.42%E -4.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.76%EV -11.83%E -8.45%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-16 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 16.53%1.42I 70.42%NM 60.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%16.3%2026-09-16 19:55