Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cagliari v Juventus

2026-10-11 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cagliari (Local)

Prévision 15.00%6.66cote équitable
EV +5.03%
Avantage +0.719%
Kelly +0.839%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.64%15.03%15.14%17.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.006.166.057.0020.00%16.24%16.53%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Juventus (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.72%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -3.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.85%62.72%62.67%64.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.391.491.501.5671.94%67.07%66.89%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.27%4.49cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.303%
Kelly -0.391%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.40%22.25%22.19%23.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.154.104.4325.32%24.10%24.39%22.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Cagliari (Local) : 15.00% ; Juventus (Visiteur) : 62.72% ; Match nul : 22.27%. Pour Cagliari (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 6.66. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 7.00, pour une espérance positive de +5.03%.

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +5.03%E +0.719%K +0.839%G +0.042%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 16:20
1xBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%EV +2.03%E +0.299%K +0.350%G +0.007%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.23%EV -2.15%E -1.38%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 22.27%EV -1.34%E -0.303%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.4%2026-09-16 19:55
NordicBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV +2.03%E +0.299%K +0.350%G +0.007%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -9.80%E -2.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV +1.28%E +0.190%K +0.223%G +0.003%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.48%EV -0.969%E -0.147%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.29%EV -5.29%E -3.50%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 19:55
Pinnacle🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.36%EV -0.969%E -0.147%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.18%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.46%EV -6.02%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:56
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -7.80%E -5.30%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.01%E -0.456%K -0.591%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 19:55
Grosvenor🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -3.97%E -0.620%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 13:51
Codere (IT)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.41%EV -6.97%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.87%EV -4.66%E -3.07%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -2.01%E -0.456%K -0.591%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 19:55
BetRivers🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.47%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 13:51
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.47%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 13:55
Bally Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.47%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 13:55
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 20:25
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 13:56
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 13:55
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 13:51
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -12.97%E -2.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.80%E -5.30%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.03%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 13:56
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -12.97%E -2.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.80%E -5.30%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.03%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 13:51
Unibet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -14.47%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.18%EV -12.81%E -9.22%K -32.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-16 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -15.97%E -2.85%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 19:55
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.35%EV -15.97%E -2.85%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -15.97%E -2.85%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.68%E -6.72%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-16 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -24.98%E -5.00%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 60.85%EV -10.93%E -7.70%K -26.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.87%EV -12.03%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-16 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 16.53%1.42I 70.42%NM 60.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%16.3%2026-09-16 19:55