Idioma:Español
Cagliari v Juventus
Resultado del partido
Cagliari (Local)
Predicción 15.00%6.66momio equitativo
EV +5.03%
Ventaja +0.719%
Kelly +0.839%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.64%15.03%15.14%17.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.006.166.057.0020.00%16.24%16.53%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Juventus (Visitante)
Predicción 62.72%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -3.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.85%62.72%62.67%64.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.491.501.5671.94%67.07%66.89%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.27%4.49momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.303%
Kelly -0.391%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.40%22.25%22.19%23.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.954.154.104.4325.32%24.10%24.39%22.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cagliari (Local): 15.00%; Juventus (Visitante): 62.72%; Empate: 22.27%. Para Cagliari (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.66. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 7.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.03%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +5.03%E +0.719%K +0.839%G +0.042% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%EV +2.03%E +0.299%K +0.350%G +0.007% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.23%EV -2.15%E -1.38%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 22.27%EV -1.34%E -0.303%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV +2.03%E +0.299%K +0.350%G +0.007% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -9.80%E -2.42%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV +1.28%E +0.190%K +0.223%G +0.003% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.48%EV -0.969%E -0.147%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.29%EV -5.29%E -3.50%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.36%EV -0.969%E -0.147%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.18%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.46%EV -6.02%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-16 20:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 13:56 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -7.80%E -5.30%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.01%E -0.456%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -3.97%E -0.620%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 13:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.41%EV -6.97%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.87%EV -4.66%E -3.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -2.01%E -0.456%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.47%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 13:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.47%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 13:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.47%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-16 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 20:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 13:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 13:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -12.97%E -2.24%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.80%E -5.30%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.03%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 13:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -12.97%E -2.24%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.80%E -5.30%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.03%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 13:51 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -14.47%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.18%EV -12.81%E -9.22%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -15.97%E -2.85%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.35%EV -15.97%E -2.85%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -15.97%E -2.85%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.68%E -6.72%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -24.98%E -5.00%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 60.85%EV -10.93%E -7.70%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.87%EV -12.03%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.53% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 60.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93% | 16.3% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |