Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cagliari v Juventus

2026-10-11 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cagliari (Casa)

Previsione 15.00%6.66quota equa
EV +5.03%
Vantaggio +0.719%
Kelly +0.839%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.64%15.03%15.14%17.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.166.057.0020.00%16.24%16.53%14.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Juventus (Trasferta)

Previsione 62.72%1.59quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -1.38%
Kelly -3.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.85%62.72%62.67%64.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.491.501.5671.94%67.07%66.89%64.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.27%4.49quota equa
EV -1.34%
Vantaggio -0.303%
Kelly -0.391%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.40%22.25%22.19%23.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.954.154.104.4325.32%24.10%24.39%22.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Cagliari (Casa): 15.00%; Juventus (Trasferta): 62.72%; Pareggio: 22.27%. Per Cagliari (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 6.66. 4 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 7.00, con un valore atteso positivo del +5.03%.

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +5.03%E +0.719%K +0.839%G +0.042%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 16:20
1xBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%EV +2.03%E +0.299%K +0.350%G +0.007%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.23%EV -2.15%E -1.38%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 22.27%EV -1.34%E -0.303%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.4%2026-09-16 19:55
NordicBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV +2.03%E +0.299%K +0.350%G +0.007%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -9.80%E -2.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV +1.28%E +0.190%K +0.223%G +0.003%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.48%EV -0.969%E -0.147%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.29%EV -5.29%E -3.50%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 19:55
Pinnacle🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.36%EV -0.969%E -0.147%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.18%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.46%EV -6.02%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:56
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.85%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -2.47%E -0.380%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -7.80%E -5.30%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.01%E -0.456%K -0.591%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 19:55
Grosvenor🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -3.97%E -0.620%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 13:51
Codere (IT)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.41%EV -6.97%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.87%EV -4.66%E -3.07%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -2.01%E -0.456%K -0.591%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 19:55
BetRivers🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.47%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 13:51
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.47%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 13:55
Bally Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.47%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 13:55
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 20:25
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 13:56
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 13:55
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.97%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 13:51
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -12.97%E -2.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.80%E -5.30%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.03%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 13:56
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -12.97%E -2.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.80%E -5.30%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.03%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 13:51
Unibet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -14.47%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.18%EV -12.81%E -9.22%K -32.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-16 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -15.97%E -2.85%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -4.24%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 19:55
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.35%EV -15.97%E -2.85%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -15.97%E -2.85%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.68%E -6.72%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-16 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -24.98%E -5.00%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 60.85%EV -10.93%E -7.70%K -26.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.87%EV -12.03%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-16 19:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 16.53%1.42I 70.42%NM 60.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%16.3%2026-09-16 19:55