赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Venezia v Modena

开赛时间： 2026-08-15 18:47 UTC

最终结果： Venezia 3–2 Modena

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Venezia (主队)

预测 60.40%1.66公平赔率
EV -5.17%
优势 -3.29%
Kelly -9.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
59.01%60.32%60.58%63.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.511.531.5769.93%66.04%65.36%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Modena (客队)

预测 16.76%5.97公平赔率
EV +4.73%
优势 +0.757%
Kelly +0.901%
增长率 +0.043%

假设最高赔率为 6.25

博彩公司预测分布
15.08%16.82%16.66%18.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.655.506.2520.00%17.68%18.18%16.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.84%4.38公平赔率
EV -0.648%
优势 -0.149%
Kelly -0.194%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.35

博彩公司预测分布
21.59%22.86%22.76%23.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.114.104.3526.32%24.30%24.39%22.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Venezia (主队)：60.40%；Modena (客队)：16.76%；平局：22.84%。 对于“Modena (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.97。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.25，对应+4.73%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:44
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.07%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.82%EV +1.55%E +0.255%K +0.306%G +0.005%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.10%EV -5.22%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:34
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +0.542%E +0.090%K +0.108%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:13
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -12.41%E -8.56%K -27.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -12.41%E -8.56%K -27.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 18:44
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -12.41%E -8.56%K -27.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -13.62%E -9.53%K -31.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 18:24
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -3.65%E -0.634%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.11%E -0.255%K -0.332%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.65%E -0.634%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:15
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -3.65%E -0.634%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -6.16%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:44
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:45
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:29
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 17:14
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 18:34
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 18:33
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.57%EV -6.98%E -4.53%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.84%EV -12.36%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.59%EV -1.33%E -0.309%K -0.402%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.66%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -12.86%E -2.47%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -16.21%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -8.19%E -5.39%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -16.21%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:44
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.21%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.21%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 18:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.25%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.8%2026-08-15 18:45