Idioma:Español
Venezia v Modena
Resultado del partido
Venezia (Local)
Predicción 62.13%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.95%
Ventaja -3.23%
Kelly -9.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.69%62.20%61.93%63.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.481.491.5369.93%67.42%67.11%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Modena (Visitante)
Predicción 15.92%6.28momio equitativo
EV +3.50%
Ventaja +0.538%
Kelly +0.636%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.63%15.88%16.15%17.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.305.895.996.5018.87%16.98%16.69%15.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.95%4.56momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.271%
Kelly -0.348%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.87%21.92%21.92%22.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.234.254.5025.00%23.62%23.53%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Venezia (Local): 62.13%; Modena (Visitante): 15.92%; Empate: 21.95%. Para Modena (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.28. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.50%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +3.50%E +0.538%K +0.636%G +0.022% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -4.95%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 03:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -0.483%E -0.077%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.41%E -0.776%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -0.483%E -0.077%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.41%E -0.776%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 03:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -0.483%E -0.077%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.41%E -0.776%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -0.483%E -0.077%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.41%E -0.776%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -0.483%E -0.077%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.41%E -0.776%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -1.28%E -0.206%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.80%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 03:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.07%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.38%EV -2.71%E -0.444%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.55%EV -4.29%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 03:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.46%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -4.95%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.46%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.95%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 03:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.46%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -1.22%E -0.271%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.11%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.46%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -4.95%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.02%EV -9.30%E -6.37%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -4.46%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -6.71%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -4.46%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 03:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -4.46%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.53%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.55%EV -4.62%E -0.772%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -6.71%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 03:48 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.22%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.61%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.80%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.80%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.80%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -8.44%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.95%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.65%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.44%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.71%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 03:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -8.44%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.80%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -8.44%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.80%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 03:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.19%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.19%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.19%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.19%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 03:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.19%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-14 03:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -15.61%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.80%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 03:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 07:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 07:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 07:45 |
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