Langue:Français
Venezia v Modena
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Venezia (Local)
Prévision 60.40%1.66cote équitable
EV -5.17%
Avantage -3.29%
Kelly -9.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.01%60.32%60.58%63.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.511.531.5769.93%66.04%65.36%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Modena (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.76%5.97cote équitable
EV +4.73%
Avantage +0.757%
Kelly +0.901%
Croissance +0.043%
avec la cote maximale 6.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.08%16.82%16.66%18.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.655.506.2520.00%17.68%18.18%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 22.84%4.38cote équitable
EV -0.648%
Avantage -0.149%
Kelly -0.194%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.59%22.86%22.76%23.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.114.104.3526.32%24.30%24.39%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Venezia (Local) : 60.40% ; Modena (Visiteur) : 16.76% ; Match nul : 22.84%. Pour Modena (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.97. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.25, soit une espérance positive de +4.73%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.07%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.82%EV +1.55%E +0.255%K +0.306%G +0.005% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.10%EV -5.22%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +0.542%E +0.090%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:13 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -12.41%E -8.56%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -12.41%E -8.56%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -12.41%E -8.56%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -13.62%E -9.53%K -31.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -3.65%E -0.634%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.11%E -0.255%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.65%E -0.634%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -3.65%E -0.634%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -6.16%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 18:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.57%EV -6.98%E -4.53%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.84%EV -12.36%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.59%EV -1.33%E -0.309%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.66%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -12.86%E -2.47%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -16.21%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -8.19%E -5.39%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -16.21%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.21%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.21%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.25% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |