Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Venezia v Modena

Inizio: 2026-08-15 18:47 UTC

Finale: Venezia 3–2 Modena

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Venezia (Casa)

Previsione 60.40%1.66quota equa
EV -5.17%
Vantaggio -3.29%
Kelly -9.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.01%60.32%60.58%63.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.511.531.5769.93%66.04%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Modena (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.76%5.97quota equa
EV +4.73%
Vantaggio +0.757%
Kelly +0.901%
Crescita +0.043%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.08%16.82%16.66%18.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.655.506.2520.00%17.68%18.18%16.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.84%4.38quota equa
EV -0.648%
Vantaggio -0.149%
Kelly -0.194%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.59%22.86%22.76%23.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.114.104.3526.32%24.30%24.39%22.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Venezia (Casa): 60.40%; Modena (Trasferta): 16.76%; Pareggio: 22.84%. Per Modena (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.97. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.73%.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +4.73%E +0.757%K +0.901%G +0.043%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -0.648%E -0.149%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:44
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.07%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.82%EV +1.55%E +0.255%K +0.306%G +0.005%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.10%EV -5.22%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:34
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +0.542%E +0.090%K +0.108%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:13
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -12.41%E -8.56%K -27.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -12.41%E -8.56%K -27.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 18:44
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -12.41%E -8.56%K -27.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -13.62%E -9.53%K -31.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -2.81%E -0.484%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 18:24
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -3.65%E -0.634%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.11%E -0.255%K -0.332%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.65%E -0.634%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:15
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -3.65%E -0.634%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -6.16%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:44
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:45
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:29
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 17:14
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 18:34
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.84%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 18:33
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.57%EV -6.98%E -4.53%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.84%EV -12.36%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.59%EV -1.33%E -0.309%K -0.402%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.66%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -12.86%E -2.47%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -16.21%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -8.19%E -5.39%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -16.21%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:44
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.21%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.21%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.25%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.8%2026-08-15 18:45