預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Udinese v Padova

開賽時間: 2026-08-15 16:32 UTC

最終賽果: Udinese 1–0 Padova

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Udinese (主隊)

預測 69.93%1.43公平賠率
EV -3.50%
優勢 -2.54%
Kelly -9.21%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.38

博彩公司預測分布
68.03%69.84%69.82%71.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.291.331.341.3877.52%75.01%74.63%72.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Padova (客隊)

預測 10.54%9.49公平賠率
EV +8.16%
優勢 +0.796%
Kelly +0.882%
成長率 +0.072%

假設最高賠率為 10.26

博彩公司預測分布
9.26%10.54%10.68%12.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.508.598.5010.2613.33%11.64%11.76%9.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 19.53%5.12公平賠率
EV -2.35%
優勢 -0.471%
Kelly -0.588%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.00

博彩公司預測分布
18.51%19.61%19.50%20.93%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.464.734.755.0022.42%21.13%21.05%20.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Udinese (主隊):69.93%;Padova (客隊):10.54%;和局:19.53%。 對於「Padova (客隊)」,該估計相當於9.49的公平十進位賠率。 當時有6家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為10.26,對應+8.16%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.35%G +0.000%10.26I 9.75%NM 9.34%EV +8.16%E +0.796%K +0.882%G +0.072%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.70%EV -9.58%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 16:20
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +5.42%E +0.542%K +0.603%G +0.033%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:25
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.42%E +0.542%K +0.603%G +0.033%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 16:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.75%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.21%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.05%EV -9.79%E -7.59%K -33.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.61%EV -9.79%E -7.59%K -33.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 16:19
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%9.42I 10.62%NM 9.91%EV -0.691%E -0.073%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.93%EV -12.90%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:29
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.12%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 23:55
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 16:29
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:10
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.08%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.00%EV -9.34%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:24
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 16:24
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 16:28
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.26%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -6.26%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 16:29
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.35%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 16:29
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 16:29
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.06%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36%1.3%2026-08-15 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.05%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.97%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%1.3%2026-08-15 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.05%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.97%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%1.3%2026-08-15 16:20