语言:简体中文
Udinese v Padova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Udinese (主队)
预测 69.93%1.43公平赔率
EV -3.50%
优势 -2.54%
Kelly -9.21%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.38
博彩公司预测分布
68.03%69.84%69.82%71.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.291.331.341.3877.52%75.01%74.63%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
Padova (客队)
预测 10.54%9.49公平赔率
EV +8.16%
优势 +0.796%
Kelly +0.882%
增长率 +0.072%
假设最高赔率为 10.26
博彩公司预测分布
9.26%10.54%10.68%12.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.598.5010.2613.33%11.64%11.76%9.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.53%5.12公平赔率
EV -2.35%
优势 -0.471%
Kelly -0.588%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.51%19.61%19.50%20.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.464.734.755.0022.42%21.13%21.05%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Udinese (主队)：69.93%；Padova (客队)：10.54%；平局：19.53%。 对于“Padova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.49。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.26，对应+8.16%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 10.26I 9.75%NM 9.34%EV +8.16%E +0.796%K +0.882%G +0.072% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.70%EV -9.58%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +5.42%E +0.542%K +0.603%G +0.033% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.42%E +0.542%K +0.603%G +0.033% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.75%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.21%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.05%EV -9.79%E -7.59%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.61%EV -9.79%E -7.59%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 9.42I 10.62%NM 9.91%EV -0.691%E -0.073%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.93%EV -12.90%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.12%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 23:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.08%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.00%EV -9.34%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:28 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.26%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -6.26%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.35%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.06% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.05% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.97% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.05% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.97% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |