Langue:Français
Udinese v Padova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Udinese (Local)
Prévision 69.93%1.43cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -9.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.03%69.84%69.82%71.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.291.331.341.3877.52%75.01%74.63%72.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Padova (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.54%9.49cote équitable
EV +8.16%
Avantage +0.796%
Kelly +0.882%
Croissance +0.072%
avec la cote maximale 10.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.26%10.54%10.68%12.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.508.598.5010.2613.33%11.64%11.76%9.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 19.53%5.12cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -0.471%
Kelly -0.588%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.51%19.61%19.50%20.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.464.734.755.0022.42%21.13%21.05%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Udinese (Local) : 69.93% ; Padova (Visiteur) : 10.54% ; Match nul : 19.53%. Pour Padova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.49. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.26, soit une espérance positive de +8.16%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 10.26I 9.75%NM 9.34%EV +8.16%E +0.796%K +0.882%G +0.072% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.70%EV -9.58%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +5.42%E +0.542%K +0.603%G +0.033% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.42%E +0.542%K +0.603%G +0.033% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.75%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.21%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.05%EV -9.79%E -7.59%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.61%EV -9.79%E -7.59%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 9.42I 10.62%NM 9.91%EV -0.691%E -0.073%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.93%EV -12.90%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.12%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 23:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.12%E -0.569%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.08%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.00%EV -9.34%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.35%E -0.471%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -10.39%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.24%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:28 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.26%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -15.66%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -6.26%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.35%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -4.31%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.17%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -20.93%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -12.12%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.06% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.05% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.97% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.05% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.97% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |