Language:English
PAOK Thessaloniki v Olympiakos Piraeus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)
Prediction 34.10%2.93fair odd
EV +0.604%
Edge +0.205%
Kelly +0.310%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.87%34.09%34.13%35.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.752.9540.00%36.34%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit)
Prediction 34.64%2.89fair odd
EV -0.592%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.317%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.46%34.63%34.53%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.572.602.8743.86%38.97%38.46%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.26%3.20fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -0.998%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.36%31.28%31.34%32.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: PAOK Thessaloniki (Local): 34.10%; Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit): 34.64%; Draw: 31.26%. For PAOK Thessaloniki (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.604%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -1.10%E -0.380%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -19.30%E -8.28%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -2.81%E -0.985%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.09%E -0.998%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 15:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -2.81%E -0.985%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.59%EV -21.03%E -9.22%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.51%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.19%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -8.09%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.51%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.19%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -8.09%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 15:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.80%EV -5.53%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.59%EV -0.592%E -0.206%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 15:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.75%EV -5.53%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.88%EV -7.17%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 15:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 15:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.46%EV -3.36%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.72%E -2.99%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 15:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -8.60%E -3.21%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -14.10%E -5.69%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 15:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.31%E -3.92%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.31%E -3.92%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -10.28%E -3.58%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.33%E -4.36%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 15:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.33%E -4.36%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -15.60%E -5.78%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.40%EV -12.36%E -4.81%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.04%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.56%EV -14.97%E -5.50%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.31%EV -13.04%E -5.11%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.99%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -14.74%E -5.90%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -14.74%E -5.90%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.76% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.95% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |