La scuola delle quote

PAOK Thessaloniki v Olympiakos Piraeus

Inizio: 2026-05-03 16:00 UTC

Finale: PAOK Thessaloniki 3–1 Olympiakos Piraeus

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

PAOK Thessaloniki (Casa)

Previsione 34.10%2.93quota equa
EV +0.604%
Vantaggio +0.205%
Kelly +0.310%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.87%34.09%34.13%35.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.752.752.9540.00%36.34%36.36%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Olympiakos Piraeus (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.64%2.89quota equa
EV -0.592%
Vantaggio -0.206%
Kelly -0.317%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.46%34.63%34.53%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.282.572.602.8743.86%38.97%38.46%34.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.26%3.20quota equa
EV -3.09%
Vantaggio -0.998%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.36%31.28%31.34%32.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:35
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:35
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -1.10%E -0.380%K -0.580%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -19.30%E -8.28%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 15:35
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -2.81%E -0.985%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.09%E -0.998%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 15:44
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -2.81%E -0.985%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.59%EV -21.03%E -9.22%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 15:35
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.51%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.19%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -8.09%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 15:55
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.51%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.19%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -8.09%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 15:54
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.80%EV -5.53%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.59%EV -0.592%E -0.206%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 15:51
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.75%EV -5.53%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.88%EV -7.17%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:55
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 15:49
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:45
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:45
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:40
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 15:45
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 15:55
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 15:54
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 15:45
Suprabets2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.46%EV -3.36%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.72%E -2.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 15:40
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:40
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 15:53
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 15:55
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 15:45
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 15:40
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -8.60%E -3.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -14.10%E -5.69%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 15:45
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 15:46
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.31%E -3.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:40
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.31%E -3.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:40
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -10.28%E -3.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 15:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 15:50
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.33%E -4.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.33%E -4.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -15.60%E -5.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-03 15:50
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.40%EV -12.36%E -4.81%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.04%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.56%EV -14.97%E -5.50%K -8.70%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-03 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.31%EV -13.04%E -5.11%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.99%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 15:45
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -14.74%E -5.90%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 15:55
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -14.74%E -5.90%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-05-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-05-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-05-03 15:55
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.76%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-05-03 15:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05%3.0%2026-05-03 15:55