L’École des cotes

PAOK Thessaloniki v Olympiakos Piraeus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 16:00 UTC

Score final : PAOK Thessaloniki 3–1 Olympiakos Piraeus

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)

Prévision 34.10%2.93cote équitable
EV +0.604%
Avantage +0.205%
Kelly +0.310%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.87%34.09%34.13%35.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.752.9540.00%36.34%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Olympiakos Piraeus (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.64%2.89cote équitable
EV -0.592%
Avantage -0.206%
Kelly -0.317%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.46%34.63%34.53%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.572.602.8743.86%38.97%38.46%34.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.26%3.20cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -0.998%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.36%31.28%31.34%32.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:35
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:35
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -1.10%E -0.380%K -0.580%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -19.30%E -8.28%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 15:35
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -2.81%E -0.985%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.09%E -0.998%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 15:44
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -2.81%E -0.985%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.59%EV -21.03%E -9.22%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 15:35
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.51%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.19%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -8.09%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 15:55
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.51%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.19%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -8.09%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 15:54
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.80%EV -5.53%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.59%EV -0.592%E -0.206%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 15:51
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.75%EV -5.53%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.88%EV -7.17%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:55
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 15:49
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:45
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:45
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:40
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 15:45
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 15:55
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 15:54
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 15:45
Suprabets2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.46%EV -3.36%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.72%E -2.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 15:40
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:40
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 15:53
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 15:55
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 15:45
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 15:40
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -8.60%E -3.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -14.10%E -5.69%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 15:45
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 15:46
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.31%E -3.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:40
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.31%E -3.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:40
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -10.28%E -3.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 15:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 15:50
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.33%E -4.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.33%E -4.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -15.60%E -5.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-03 15:50
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.40%EV -12.36%E -4.81%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.04%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.56%EV -14.97%E -5.50%K -8.70%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-03 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.31%EV -13.04%E -5.11%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.99%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 15:45
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -14.74%E -5.90%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 15:55
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -14.74%E -5.90%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-05-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-05-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-05-03 15:55
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.76%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-05-03 15:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05%3.0%2026-05-03 15:55