La escuela de los momios

PAOK Thessaloniki v Olympiakos Piraeus

Inicio: 2026-05-03 16:00 UTC

Final: PAOK Thessaloniki 3–1 Olympiakos Piraeus

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)

Predicción 34.10%2.93momio equitativo
EV +0.604%
Ventaja +0.205%
Kelly +0.310%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.87%34.09%34.13%35.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.752.9540.00%36.34%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Olympiakos Piraeus (Visitante)

Predicción 34.64%2.89momio equitativo
EV -0.592%
Ventaja -0.206%
Kelly -0.317%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.46%34.63%34.53%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.572.602.8743.86%38.97%38.46%34.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.26%3.20momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -0.998%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.36%31.28%31.34%32.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -17.56%E -7.38%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:35
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:35
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV +0.604%E +0.205%K +0.310%G +0.002%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -18.60%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:35
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -1.10%E -0.380%K -0.580%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -19.30%E -8.28%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 15:35
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -2.81%E -0.985%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.09%E -0.998%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 15:44
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -2.81%E -0.985%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.59%EV -21.03%E -9.22%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 15:35
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.51%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.19%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -8.09%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 15:55
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.51%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.19%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -8.09%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 15:54
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.80%EV -5.53%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.59%EV -0.592%E -0.206%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 15:51
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.75%EV -5.53%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.88%EV -7.17%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:55
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 15:49
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:45
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:45
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:40
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 15:45
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 15:55
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 15:54
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 15:45
Suprabets2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.46%EV -3.36%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.72%E -2.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 15:40
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:40
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 15:53
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 15:55
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 15:45
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 15:40
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -8.60%E -3.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -14.10%E -5.69%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 15:45
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 15:46
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.31%E -3.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:40
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.31%E -3.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:40
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -10.28%E -3.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 15:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 15:50
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.65%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.33%E -4.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.33%E -4.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -15.60%E -5.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-03 15:50
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.40%EV -12.36%E -4.81%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.04%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.56%EV -14.97%E -5.50%K -8.70%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-03 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.31%EV -13.04%E -5.11%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.99%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 15:45
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -14.74%E -5.90%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 15:55
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -14.74%E -5.90%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-05-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-05-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-05-03 15:55
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.76%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-05-03 15:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05%3.0%2026-05-03 15:55