Language:English
PAOK Thessaloniki v Asteras Tripolis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)
Prediction 72.98%1.37fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -14.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.45%73.03%72.79%75.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.261.261.3186.96%79.53%79.37%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Asteras Tripolis (Visit)
Prediction 9.69%10.32fair odd
EV +6.62%
Edge +0.602%
Kelly +0.662%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.41%9.69%9.69%11.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.419.5011.0013.33%10.63%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.32%5.77fair odd
EV +7.41%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.106%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.23%17.28%17.52%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.185.106.2022.22%19.29%19.61%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: PAOK Thessaloniki (Local): 72.98%; Asteras Tripolis (Visit): 9.69%; Draw: 17.32%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.77. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.94%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.84%EV -6.95%E -0.724%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV +7.41%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.106% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.94%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.84%EV -6.95%E -0.724%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV +7.41%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.106% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.30%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.88I 9.19%NM 8.79%EV +5.46%E +0.502%K +0.552%G +0.030% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.91%EV +4.12%E +0.685%K +0.822%G +0.034% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV +3.95%E +0.658%K +0.789%G +0.031% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV +3.95%E +0.658%K +0.789%G +0.031% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -0.385%E -0.067%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 16:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -1.25%E -0.219%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 16:12 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -2.98%E -0.533%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +6.62%E +0.602%K +0.662%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -4.39%E -3.35%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.45%EV -13.35%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.11%EV -5.41%E -0.991%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.45%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +6.62%E +0.602%K +0.662%G +0.044% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 16:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.73%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -9.91%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.73%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -9.91%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.58%EV -10.23%E -8.32%K -44.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.57%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 11:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-23 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.02%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.36%EV -24.88%E -3.21%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-01 16:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.87%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.13%EV -14.70%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.00%EV -14.24%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.46%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.06%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-22 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 72.89%EV -13.88%E -11.76%K -77.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.55%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 72.73%EV -16.07%E -13.97%K -107.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 9.84%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.43%EV -16.84%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.68%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.45%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.46%EV -27.30%E -3.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.09%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-01 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.22%EV -11.69%E -9.66%K -55.67%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.45%EV -20.03%E -2.43%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.34%EV -18.58%E -3.95%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-01 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.04%E -4.90%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-01 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.57% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.35% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.95% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.86% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.83% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31% | 2.2% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |