La escuela de los momiosEspañol
PAOK Thessaloniki v Asteras Tripolis
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)
Predicción 72.98%1.37momio equitativo
EV -4.39%
Ventaja -3.35%
Kelly -14.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.45%73.03%72.79%75.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.261.261.3186.96%79.53%79.37%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Asteras Tripolis (Visitante)
Predicción 9.69%10.32momio equitativo
EV +6.62%
Ventaja +0.602%
Kelly +0.662%
Crecimiento +0.044%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.41%9.69%9.69%11.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.509.419.5011.0013.33%10.63%10.53%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.32%5.77momio equitativo
EV +7.41%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.106%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.23%17.28%17.52%19.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.185.106.2022.22%19.29%19.61%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.94%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.84%EV -6.95%E -0.724%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV +7.41%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.106% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 16:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.94%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.84%EV -6.95%E -0.724%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV +7.41%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.106% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.30%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.88I 9.19%NM 8.79%EV +5.46%E +0.502%K +0.552%G +0.030% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.91%EV +4.12%E +0.685%K +0.822%G +0.034% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV +3.95%E +0.658%K +0.789%G +0.031% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV +3.95%E +0.658%K +0.789%G +0.031% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -0.385%E -0.067%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 16:10 |
| Suprabets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -1.25%E -0.219%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 16:12 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -2.98%E -0.533%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +6.62%E +0.602%K +0.662%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -4.39%E -3.35%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.45%EV -13.35%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.11%EV -5.41%E -0.991%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.45%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 16:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +6.62%E +0.602%K +0.662%G +0.044% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 16:48 |
| Bovada | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.73%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -9.91%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 16:49 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.73%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -9.91%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:24 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.58%EV -10.23%E -8.32%K -44.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.57%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 11:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-23 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 17:25 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.02%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.36%EV -24.88%E -3.21%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-01 16:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.87%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.13%EV -14.70%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.00%EV -14.24%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 16:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.46%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.06%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-22 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 72.89%EV -13.88%E -11.76%K -77.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.55%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 72.73%EV -16.07%E -13.97%K -107.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 9.84%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.43%EV -16.84%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.68%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.45%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.46%EV -27.30%E -3.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.09%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-01 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.22%EV -11.69%E -9.66%K -55.67%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.45%EV -20.03%E -2.43%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.34%EV -18.58%E -3.95%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-01 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.04%E -4.90%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-01 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.57% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.35% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.95% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.86% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.83% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31% | 2.2% | 2026-03-01 16:39 |