L’École des cotes

PAOK Thessaloniki v Asteras Tripolis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)

Prévision 72.98%1.37cote équitable
EV -4.39%
Avantage -3.35%
Kelly -14.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.45%73.03%72.79%75.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.261.261.3186.96%79.53%79.37%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Asteras Tripolis (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.69%10.32cote équitable
EV +6.62%
Avantage +0.602%
Kelly +0.662%
Croissance +0.044%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.41%9.69%9.69%11.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.509.419.5011.0013.33%10.63%10.53%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.32%5.77cote équitable
EV +7.41%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.106%

avec la cote maximale 6.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.23%17.28%17.52%19.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.185.106.2022.22%19.29%19.61%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 74.94%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.84%EV -6.95%E -0.724%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV +7.41%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.106%5.9%2026-03-01 16:49
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.94%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.84%EV -6.95%E -0.724%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV +7.41%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.106%5.9%2026-03-01 16:50
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.30%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.88I 9.19%NM 8.79%EV +5.46%E +0.502%K +0.552%G +0.030%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.91%EV +4.12%E +0.685%K +0.822%G +0.034%4.6%2026-03-01 16:54
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV +3.95%E +0.658%K +0.789%G +0.031%4.8%2026-03-01 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV +3.95%E +0.658%K +0.789%G +0.031%4.8%2026-03-01 16:09
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -0.385%E -0.067%K -0.081%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 16:10
Suprabets1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -1.25%E -0.219%K -0.266%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:12
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -2.98%E -0.533%K -0.649%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 16:30
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +6.62%E +0.602%K +0.662%G +0.044%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 16:14
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -4.39%E -3.35%K -14.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 16:39
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:45
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.45%EV -13.35%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.11%EV -5.41%E -0.991%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.45%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 16:39
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 16:14
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +6.62%E +0.602%K +0.662%G +0.044%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 16:48
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 72.73%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -9.91%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 16:49
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 72.73%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -9.91%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:20
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:20
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:20
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:20
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:24
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:25
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:25
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.58%EV -10.23%E -8.32%K -44.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 16:34
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 72.57%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 11:14
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-23 14:59
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 17:25
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:39
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 16:39
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 16:25
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 16:25
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 16:25
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 16:39
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 16:39
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 16:14
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.02%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.36%EV -24.88%E -3.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-01 16:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.87%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.13%EV -14.70%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.00%EV -14.24%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 16:40
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.46%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.06%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 15:34
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 17:25
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 72.89%EV -13.88%E -11.76%K -77.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.55%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-01 16:39
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 72.73%EV -16.07%E -13.97%K -107.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 9.84%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.43%EV -16.84%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-01 16:34
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 70.68%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 16:14
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 14:09
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 70.45%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.46%EV -27.30%E -3.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.09%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-01 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 71.22%EV -11.69%E -9.66%K -55.67%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.45%EV -20.03%E -2.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.34%EV -18.58%E -3.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-01 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.04%E -4.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.57%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.5%2026-03-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.35%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.7%2026-03-01 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.95%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%1.3%2026-03-01 16:55
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.86%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%2.2%2026-03-01 16:39