La scuola delle quote

PAOK Thessaloniki v Asteras Tripolis

Inizio: 2026-03-01 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

PAOK Thessaloniki (Casa)

Previsione 72.98%1.37quota equa
EV -4.39%
Vantaggio -3.35%
Kelly -14.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.45%73.03%72.79%75.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.261.261.3186.96%79.53%79.37%76.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Asteras Tripolis (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.69%10.32quota equa
EV +6.62%
Vantaggio +0.602%
Kelly +0.662%
Crescita +0.044%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.41%9.69%9.69%11.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.509.419.5011.0013.33%10.63%10.53%9.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 17.32%5.77quota equa
EV +7.41%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescita +0.106%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.23%17.28%17.52%19.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.185.106.2022.22%19.29%19.61%16.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 74.94%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.84%EV -6.95%E -0.724%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV +7.41%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.106%5.9%2026-03-01 16:49
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.94%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.84%EV -6.95%E -0.724%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV +7.41%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.106%5.9%2026-03-01 16:50
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.30%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.88I 9.19%NM 8.79%EV +5.46%E +0.502%K +0.552%G +0.030%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.91%EV +4.12%E +0.685%K +0.822%G +0.034%4.6%2026-03-01 16:54
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV +3.95%E +0.658%K +0.789%G +0.031%4.8%2026-03-01 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV +3.95%E +0.658%K +0.789%G +0.031%4.8%2026-03-01 16:09
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -0.385%E -0.067%K -0.081%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 16:10
Suprabets1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -1.25%E -0.219%K -0.266%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:12
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -2.98%E -0.533%K -0.649%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 16:30
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +6.62%E +0.602%K +0.662%G +0.044%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 16:14
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -4.39%E -3.35%K -14.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 16:39
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.72%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:45
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.45%EV -13.35%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.11%EV -5.41%E -0.991%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.45%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 16:39
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 16:14
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +6.62%E +0.602%K +0.662%G +0.044%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 16:48
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 72.73%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -9.91%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 16:49
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 72.73%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -9.91%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:20
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:20
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:20
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:20
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:24
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:25
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.67%EV -7.31%E -5.76%K -27.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 17:25
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.58%EV -10.23%E -8.32%K -44.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 16:34
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 72.57%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 11:14
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-23 14:59
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 17:25
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:39
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -8.04%E -6.38%K -30.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 16:39
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 16:25
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 16:25
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 16:25
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 16:39
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.46%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 16:39
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 16:14
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.02%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.36%EV -24.88%E -3.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-01 16:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.87%EV -9.50%E -7.66%K -39.59%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.13%EV -14.70%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.00%EV -14.24%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 16:40
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.46%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.06%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 15:34
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 17:25
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 72.89%EV -13.88%E -11.76%K -77.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.55%EV -15.11%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-01 16:39
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 72.73%EV -16.07%E -13.97%K -107.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 9.84%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.43%EV -16.84%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-01 16:34
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 70.68%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 16:14
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -8.77%E -7.02%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 14:09
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 70.45%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.46%EV -27.30%E -3.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.09%EV -17.71%E -3.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-01 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 71.22%EV -11.69%E -9.66%K -55.67%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.45%EV -20.03%E -2.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.34%EV -18.58%E -3.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-01 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.96%E -8.98%K -49.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -7.92%E -0.833%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.04%E -4.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 16:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.57%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.5%2026-03-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.35%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.7%2026-03-01 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.95%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%1.3%2026-03-01 16:55
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.86%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%2.2%2026-03-01 16:39