Школа коэффициентов

PAOK Thessaloniki v AEK Athens

Начало: 2026-05-13 16:30 UTC

Итог: PAOK Thessaloniki 1–1 AEK Athens

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

49 букмекерских контор (13 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

PAOK Thessaloniki (Хозяева)

Прогноз 49.48%2.02справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.51%
Преимущество -2.34%
Kelly -4.85%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.93

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.62%49.50%49.30%51.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.711.841.831.9358.48%54.49%54.64%51.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

AEK Athens (Гости)

Прогноз 23.60%4.24справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.307%
Преимущество +0.072%
Kelly +0.094%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.46%23.66%23.66%25.07%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.933.904.2528.57%25.47%25.64%23.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.92%3.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.74%
Преимущество -0.476%
Kelly -0.656%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.89%26.84%27.04%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.383.403.6533.33%29.60%29.41%27.40%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.46%EV -0.165%E -0.039%K -0.051%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 16:25
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.08%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.62%EV -8.74%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 15:42
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:20
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:20
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -13.41%E -7.67%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 16:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -1.74%E -0.476%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 15:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -1.74%E -0.476%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 15:50
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -15.39%E -9.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-13 16:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 15:45
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:25
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:04
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.77%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 15:40
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.77%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 15:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 15:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:25
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:19
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 16:05
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.97%E -4.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 16:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 16:06
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.49%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 16:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.49%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-13 15:50
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -11.73%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:16
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:16
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:16
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 16:10
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -9.95%E -5.47%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -10.62%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.97%E -4.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.41%EV -12.92%E -7.34%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-13 16:01
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.43%EV -14.40%E -8.33%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -15.20%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-13 16:16
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.55%E -5.34%K -7.88%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-13 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.24%E -6.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-13 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -17.39%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-13 15:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-13 16:05
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-05-13 16:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-13 16:20