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PAOK Thessaloniki v AEK Athens
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
PAOK Thessaloniki (Хозяева)
Прогноз 49.48%2.02справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.51%
Преимущество -2.34%
Kelly -4.85%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.93
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.62%49.50%49.30%51.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.711.841.831.9358.48%54.49%54.64%51.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
AEK Athens (Гости)
Прогноз 23.60%4.24справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.307%
Преимущество +0.072%
Kelly +0.094%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.46%23.66%23.66%25.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.933.904.2528.57%25.47%25.64%23.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.92%3.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.74%
Преимущество -0.476%
Kelly -0.656%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.89%26.84%27.04%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.383.403.6533.33%29.60%29.41%27.40%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: PAOK Thessaloniki (Хозяева): 49.48%; AEK Athens (Гости): 23.60%; Ничья: 26.92%. Для исхода «AEK Athens (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.24. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.25, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.307%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.46%EV -0.165%E -0.039%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.08%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.62%EV -8.74%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 15:42 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -13.41%E -7.67%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -1.74%E -0.476%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -1.74%E -0.476%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -15.39%E -9.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 16:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.77%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.77%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.97%E -4.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-13 16:06 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.49%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.49%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -11.73%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-13 16:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-13 16:16 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-13 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-13 16:16 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -9.95%E -5.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -10.62%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-13 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.97%E -4.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.41%EV -12.92%E -7.34%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-13 16:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.43%EV -14.40%E -8.33%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -15.20%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-13 16:16 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.55%E -5.34%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.24%E -6.41%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-13 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -17.39%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 1.9% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |