L’École des cotes

PAOK Thessaloniki v AEK Athens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 16:30 UTC

Score final : PAOK Thessaloniki 1–1 AEK Athens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)

Prévision 49.48%2.02cote équitable
EV -4.51%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -4.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.62%49.50%49.30%51.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.841.831.9358.48%54.49%54.64%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AEK Athens (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.60%4.24cote équitable
EV +0.307%
Avantage +0.072%
Kelly +0.094%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.46%23.66%23.66%25.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.933.904.2528.57%25.47%25.64%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.92%3.71cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.476%
Kelly -0.656%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.89%26.84%27.04%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.6533.33%29.60%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.46%EV -0.165%E -0.039%K -0.051%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 16:25
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.08%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.62%EV -8.74%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 15:42
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:20
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:20
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -13.41%E -7.67%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 16:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -1.74%E -0.476%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 15:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -1.74%E -0.476%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 15:50
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -15.39%E -9.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-13 16:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 15:45
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:25
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:04
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.77%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 15:40
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.77%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 15:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 15:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:25
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:19
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 16:05
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.97%E -4.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 16:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 16:06
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.49%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 16:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.49%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-13 15:50
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -11.73%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:16
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:16
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:16
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 16:10
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -9.95%E -5.47%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -10.62%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.97%E -4.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.41%EV -12.92%E -7.34%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-13 16:01
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.43%EV -14.40%E -8.33%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -15.20%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-13 16:16
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.55%E -5.34%K -7.88%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-13 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.24%E -6.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-13 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -17.39%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-13 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-13 16:05
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-05-13 16:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-13 16:20