مدرسة الاحتمالات

PAOK Thessaloniki v AEK Athens

البداية: 2026-05-13 16:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: PAOK Thessaloniki 1–1 AEK Athens

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

PAOK Thessaloniki (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.48%2.02السعر العادل
EV -4.51%
الأفضلية -2.34%
Kelly -4.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.62%49.50%49.30%51.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.841.831.9358.48%54.49%54.64%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

AEK Athens (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.60%4.24السعر العادل
EV +0.307%
الأفضلية +0.072%
Kelly +0.094%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.46%23.66%23.66%25.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.933.904.2528.57%25.47%25.64%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.92%3.71السعر العادل
EV -1.74%
الأفضلية -0.476%
Kelly -0.656%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.89%26.84%27.04%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.383.403.6533.33%29.60%29.41%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:20
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.46%EV -0.165%E -0.039%K -0.051%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 16:25
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.08%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.62%EV -8.74%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 15:42
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:20
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:20
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -13.41%E -7.67%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 16:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -1.74%E -0.476%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 15:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -1.74%E -0.476%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 15:50
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -15.39%E -9.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-13 16:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 15:45
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:25
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:04
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.77%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 15:40
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.77%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 15:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 15:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:25
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:19
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 16:05
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.97%E -4.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 16:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 16:06
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.49%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 16:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.49%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-13 15:50
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -11.73%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:16
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:16
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:16
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 16:10
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -9.95%E -5.47%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -10.62%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.97%E -4.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.41%EV -12.92%E -7.34%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-13 16:01
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.43%EV -14.40%E -8.33%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -15.20%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-13 16:16
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.55%E -5.34%K -7.88%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-13 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.24%E -6.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-13 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -17.39%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-13 15:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-13 16:05
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-05-13 16:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-13 16:20