La escuela de los momiosEspañol
PAOK Thessaloniki v AEK Athens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)
Predicción 49.48%2.02momio equitativo
EV -4.51%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -4.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.62%49.50%49.30%51.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.841.831.9358.48%54.49%54.64%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AEK Athens (Visitante)
Predicción 23.60%4.24momio equitativo
EV +0.307%
Ventaja +0.072%
Kelly +0.094%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.46%23.66%23.66%25.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.933.904.2528.57%25.47%25.64%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.92%3.71momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.476%
Kelly -0.656%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.89%26.84%27.04%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6533.33%29.60%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV +0.307%E +0.072%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.46%EV -0.165%E -0.039%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| Suprabets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.08%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.62%EV -8.74%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 15:42 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -13.41%E -7.67%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -0.873%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -1.74%E -0.476%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -1.74%E -0.476%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -15.39%E -9.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -3.23%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 16:04 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.77%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.77%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 16:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 16:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.97%E -4.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-13 16:06 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.49%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.49%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -11.73%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-13 16:16 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-13 16:16 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-13 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-13 16:16 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -9.95%E -5.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -10.62%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-13 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.97%E -4.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.41%EV -12.92%E -7.34%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-13 16:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.43%EV -14.40%E -8.33%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -15.20%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-13 16:16 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.55%E -5.34%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.24%E -6.41%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-13 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -17.39%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 16:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 1.9% | 2026-05-13 16:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 16:20 |