Language:English
Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)
Prediction 13.69%7.30fair odd
EV +4.32%
Edge +0.567%
Kelly +0.653%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 7.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.58%13.71%13.57%15.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.576.507.6217.54%15.22%15.38%13.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 64.90%1.54fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -6.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.47%64.81%65.00%66.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.431.431.4975.19%70.04%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.41%4.67fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -0.810%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.59%21.48%21.44%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.174.134.5026.67%23.96%24.24%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 13.69%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 64.90%; Draw: 21.41%. For Panetolikos Agrinio (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.30. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.58%EV +4.32%E +0.567%K +0.653%G +0.028% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.08%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.34%EV -3.86%E -0.859%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -0.744%E -0.103%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.07%EV -2.80%E -0.394%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.35%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -7.93%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 17:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 17:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -9.00%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -5.54%E -0.802%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.06%EV -4.93%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -6.90%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -7.59%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -9.79%E -7.05%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.01%EV -9.64%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.00%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.98%EV -9.64%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.06%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:28 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -12.38%E -1.93%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.10%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -14.43%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.55%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.08%EV -14.43%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.71%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.21%EV -11.14%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 13.83%EV -15.12%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.47%EV -13.69%E -10.29%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.71%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-20 17:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-20 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-20 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-20 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -19.23%E -3.26%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.50%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.68%EV -20.60%E -3.55%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.61%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.71%EV -19.70%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-20 17:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.00%EV -21.28%E -3.70%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.43%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.57%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 14.99%EV -21.96%E -3.85%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.82%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.19%EV -17.56%E -4.56%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 13.03% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.05% | -0.2% | 2026-09-20 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.87% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.55% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 2.1% | 2026-09-20 17:55 |