L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 18:00 UTC

Score final : Panetolikos Agrinio 1–3 PAOK Thessaloniki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Prévision 13.69%7.30cote équitable
EV +4.32%
Avantage +0.567%
Kelly +0.653%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 7.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.58%13.71%13.57%15.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.706.576.507.6217.54%15.22%15.38%13.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.90%1.54cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -6.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.47%64.81%65.00%66.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.431.431.4975.19%70.04%69.93%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.41%4.67cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -0.810%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.59%21.48%21.44%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.174.134.5026.67%23.96%24.24%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Panetolikos Agrinio (Local) : 13.69% ; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visiteur) : 64.90% ; Match nul : 21.41%. Pour Panetolikos Agrinio (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.30. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.62, soit une espérance positive de +4.32%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯7.62I 13.12%NM 12.58%EV +4.32%E +0.567%K +0.653%G +0.028%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.08%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.34%EV -3.86%E -0.859%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 17:54
BetUS🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 17:54
Coolbet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -0.744%E -0.103%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 17:49
Suprabets🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.07%EV -2.80%E -0.394%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.35%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -7.93%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 17:44
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 17:54
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 17:48
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 17:54
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 17:55
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:55
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:54
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -9.00%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:50
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 17:55
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:49
1xBet🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -5.54%E -0.802%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.06%EV -4.93%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -6.90%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 17:49
SportsBet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -7.59%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -9.79%E -7.05%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:55
Betsson🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.01%EV -9.64%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.00%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 17:49
NordicBet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.98%EV -9.64%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.06%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 17:49
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:28
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:35
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 17:34
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 17:49
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 17:40
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -12.38%E -1.93%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.10%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -14.43%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.55%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.08%EV -14.43%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.71%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.21%EV -11.14%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 17:54
NetBet (FR)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 13.83%EV -15.12%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 64.47%EV -13.69%E -10.29%K -41.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.71%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-20 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:35
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:34
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 17:44
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 17:45
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -19.23%E -3.26%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.50%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 17:49
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 14.68%EV -20.60%E -3.55%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.61%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.71%EV -19.70%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-20 17:45
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.00%EV -21.28%E -3.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.43%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.57%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-20 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 14.99%EV -21.96%E -3.85%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.82%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.19%EV -17.56%E -4.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-20 17:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎7.69I 13.00%NM 13.03%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.05%-0.2%2026-09-20 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-09-20 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-09-20 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.87%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-09-20 17:55
Smarkets◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.55%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%2.1%2026-09-20 17:55