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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki

Início: 2026-09-20 18:00 UTC

Final: Panetolikos Agrinio 1–3 PAOK Thessaloniki

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Previsão 13.69%7.30odd justa
EV +4.32%
Vantagem +0.567%
Kelly +0.653%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.58%13.71%13.57%15.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.706.576.507.6217.54%15.22%15.38%13.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Previsão 64.90%1.54odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -2.22%
Kelly -6.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.47%64.81%65.00%66.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.431.431.4975.19%70.04%69.93%67.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.41%4.67odd justa
EV -3.64%
Vantagem -0.810%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.59%21.48%21.44%22.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.174.134.5026.67%23.96%24.24%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 13.69%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante): 64.90%; Empate: 21.41%. Para Panetolikos Agrinio (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.30. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.62, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.32%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯7.62I 13.12%NM 12.58%EV +4.32%E +0.567%K +0.653%G +0.028%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.08%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.34%EV -3.86%E -0.859%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 17:54
BetUS🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 17:54
Coolbet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -0.744%E -0.103%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 17:49
Suprabets🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.07%EV -2.80%E -0.394%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.35%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -7.93%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 17:44
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 17:54
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 17:48
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 17:54
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 17:55
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:55
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:54
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -9.00%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:50
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 17:55
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:49
1xBet🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -5.54%E -0.802%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.06%EV -4.93%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -6.90%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 17:49
SportsBet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -7.59%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -9.79%E -7.05%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:55
Betsson🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.01%EV -9.64%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.00%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 17:49
NordicBet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.98%EV -9.64%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.06%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 17:49
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:28
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:35
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 17:34
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 17:49
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 17:40
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -12.38%E -1.93%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.10%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -14.43%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.55%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.08%EV -14.43%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.71%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.21%EV -11.14%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 17:54
NetBet (FR)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 13.83%EV -15.12%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 64.47%EV -13.69%E -10.29%K -41.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.71%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-20 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:35
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:34
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 17:44
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 17:45
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -19.23%E -3.26%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.50%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 17:49
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 14.68%EV -20.60%E -3.55%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.61%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.71%EV -19.70%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-20 17:45
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.00%EV -21.28%E -3.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.43%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.57%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-20 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 14.99%EV -21.96%E -3.85%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.82%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.19%EV -17.56%E -4.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-20 17:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎7.69I 13.00%NM 13.03%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.05%-0.2%2026-09-20 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-09-20 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-09-20 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.87%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-09-20 17:55
Smarkets◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.55%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%2.1%2026-09-20 17:55