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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki

Inicio: 2026-09-20 18:00 UTC

Final: Panetolikos Agrinio 1–3 PAOK Thessaloniki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Predicción 13.69%7.30momio equitativo
EV +4.32%
Ventaja +0.567%
Kelly +0.653%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.58%13.71%13.57%15.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.706.576.507.6217.54%15.22%15.38%13.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Predicción 64.90%1.54momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -6.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.47%64.81%65.00%66.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.431.431.4975.19%70.04%69.93%67.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 21.41%4.67momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -0.810%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.59%21.48%21.44%22.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.174.134.5026.67%23.96%24.24%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 13.69%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante): 64.90%; Empate: 21.41%. Para Panetolikos Agrinio (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.30. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.32%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯7.62I 13.12%NM 12.58%EV +4.32%E +0.567%K +0.653%G +0.028%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.08%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.34%EV -3.86%E -0.859%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 17:54
BetUS🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.31%E +0.177%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 17:54
Coolbet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -0.744%E -0.103%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 17:49
Suprabets🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.07%EV -2.80%E -0.394%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.35%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -7.93%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 17:44
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 17:54
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 17:48
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 17:54
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.64%E -0.810%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 17:55
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:55
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:54
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -9.00%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:50
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 17:55
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.17%E -0.595%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:49
1xBet🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -5.54%E -0.802%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.06%EV -4.93%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -6.90%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 17:49
SportsBet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -7.59%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -9.79%E -7.05%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:55
Betsson🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.01%EV -9.64%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.00%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 17:49
NordicBet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.98%EV -9.64%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.06%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 17:49
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:28
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -3.30%E -2.22%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:35
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 17:34
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 17:49
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 17:40
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.01%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -12.38%E -1.93%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.10%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -14.43%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.55%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -12.21%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.08%EV -14.43%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.71%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.21%EV -11.14%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 17:54
NetBet (FR)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 13.83%EV -15.12%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 64.47%EV -13.69%E -10.29%K -41.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.71%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-20 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:35
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:34
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 17:44
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 17:45
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -17.86%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -19.23%E -3.26%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.50%EV -8.50%E -6.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 17:49
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 14.68%EV -20.60%E -3.55%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.61%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.71%EV -19.70%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-20 17:45
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.00%EV -21.28%E -3.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.43%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.57%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-20 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 14.99%EV -21.96%E -3.85%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.82%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.19%EV -17.56%E -4.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-20 17:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎7.69I 13.00%NM 13.03%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.05%-0.2%2026-09-20 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-09-20 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-09-20 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.87%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-09-20 17:55
Smarkets◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.55%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%2.1%2026-09-20 17:55