Language:English
Atromitos Athens v PAOK Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atromitos Athens (Local)
Prediction 17.92%5.58fair odd
EV +3.56%
Edge +0.616%
Kelly +0.744%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 5.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.42%17.81%18.09%18.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.115.005.7821.28%19.59%20.00%17.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 58.89%1.70fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -5.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.52%58.92%58.77%60.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.571.571.6467.57%63.78%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.19%4.31fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.620%
Kelly -0.814%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.15%23.27%23.14%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.853.854.2028.99%25.95%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atromitos Athens (Local): 17.92%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 58.89%; Draw: 23.19%. For Atromitos Athens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.58. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.59%EV +3.56%E +0.616%K +0.744%G +0.026% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.31%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -3.76%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV +2.12%E +0.373%K +0.452%G +0.010% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.58%EV -7.94%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.333%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.333%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.333%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 17:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -10.48%E -6.90%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.04%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.61%E -0.620%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.92%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.40%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -2.61%E -0.620%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.72%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -9.30%E -6.04%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -14.20%E -3.84%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-30 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.25%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.48%E -6.90%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.58%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.18%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -14.66%E -3.98%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -17.68%E -4.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -17.68%E -4.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.68%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -17.68%E -4.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 16:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.72%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.05%EV -16.52%E -4.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.27%EV -15.79%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.85%EV -11.07%E -7.33%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -20.00%E -5.80%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-30 16:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.24%EV -15.79%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.94%EV -12.84%E -8.67%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -16.52%E -4.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.30% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.65% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |