Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atromitos Athens v PAOK Thessaloniki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 17:15 UTC

Score final : Atromitos Athens 1–2 PAOK Thessaloniki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Prévision 17.92%5.58cote équitable
EV +3.56%
Avantage +0.616%
Kelly +0.744%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 5.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.42%17.81%18.09%18.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.705.115.005.7821.28%19.59%20.00%17.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.89%1.70cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -5.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.52%58.92%58.77%60.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.571.571.6467.57%63.78%63.69%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.19%4.31cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.620%
Kelly -0.814%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.15%23.27%23.14%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.853.854.2028.99%25.95%25.97%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atromitos Athens (Local) : 17.92% ; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visiteur) : 58.89% ; Match nul : 23.19%. Pour Atromitos Athens (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.58. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.78, soit une espérance positive de +3.56%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.59%EV +3.56%E +0.616%K +0.744%G +0.026%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.31%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -3.76%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:10
1xBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV +2.12%E +0.373%K +0.452%G +0.010%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.58%EV -7.94%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.333%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.333%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:05
Suprabets🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.333%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:10
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 17:08
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -10.48%E -6.90%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 17:09
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:59
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.04%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 17:00
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.61%E -0.620%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 16:55
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.92%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:29
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
BetUS🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.40%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 17:10
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:50
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -2.61%E -0.620%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:00
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 17:04
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 17:00
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:05
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.72%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -9.30%E -6.04%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:00
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 17:10
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -14.20%E -3.84%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.25%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.48%E -6.90%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 17:00
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 17:00
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.58%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.18%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -14.66%E -3.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -17.68%E -4.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -17.68%E -4.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.68%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -17.68%E -4.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 16:34
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 17:00
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.72%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.05%EV -16.52%E -4.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-30 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.27%EV -15.79%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 56.85%EV -11.07%E -7.33%K -21.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -20.00%E -5.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-30 16:34
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.24%EV -15.79%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 57.94%EV -12.84%E -8.67%K -26.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -16.52%E -4.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-30 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Smarkets◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%2.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.30%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05%4.0%2026-08-30 17:10