Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atromitos Athens v PAOK Thessaloniki

Início: 2026-08-30 17:15 UTC

Final: Atromitos Athens 1–2 PAOK Thessaloniki

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Previsão 17.92%5.58odd justa
EV +3.56%
Vantagem +0.616%
Kelly +0.744%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.42%17.81%18.09%18.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.705.115.005.7821.28%19.59%20.00%17.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Previsão 58.89%1.70odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -2.08%
Kelly -5.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.52%58.92%58.77%60.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.481.571.571.6467.57%63.78%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.19%4.31odd justa
EV -2.61%
Vantagem -0.620%
Kelly -0.814%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.15%23.27%23.14%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.853.854.2028.99%25.95%25.97%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atromitos Athens (Local): 17.92%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante): 58.89%; Empate: 23.19%. Para Atromitos Athens (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.58. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.78, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.56%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.59%EV +3.56%E +0.616%K +0.744%G +0.026%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.31%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -3.76%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:10
1xBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV +2.12%E +0.373%K +0.452%G +0.010%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.58%EV -7.94%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.333%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.333%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:05
Suprabets🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.333%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:10
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 17:08
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -10.48%E -6.90%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 17:09
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:59
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.04%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 17:00
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.61%E -0.620%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 16:55
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.92%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:29
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:30
BetUS🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.40%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 17:10
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:50
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -2.61%E -0.620%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:00
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 17:04
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 17:00
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:05
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.72%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -9.30%E -6.04%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:00
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 17:10
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -14.20%E -3.84%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -13.04%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.25%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.48%E -6.90%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 17:00
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 17:00
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.58%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.18%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -14.66%E -3.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -17.68%E -4.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -17.68%E -4.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.68%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -17.68%E -4.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 16:34
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 17:00
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.72%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.05%EV -16.52%E -4.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-30 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.27%EV -15.79%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 56.85%EV -11.07%E -7.33%K -21.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -20.00%E -5.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-30 16:34
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.24%EV -15.79%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 57.94%EV -12.84%E -8.67%K -26.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -16.52%E -4.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-30 17:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Smarkets◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%2.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.30%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05%4.0%2026-08-30 17:10