Language:English
Aris Thessaloniki v OFI Crete
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aris Thessaloniki (Local)
Prediction 53.78%1.86fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.12%53.75%53.83%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.691.701.7966.23%59.14%58.82%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
OFI Crete (Visit)
Prediction 20.32%4.92fair odd
EV +3.64%
Edge +0.713%
Kelly +0.887%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.35%20.33%20.33%21.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.594.505.1025.00%21.77%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.90%3.86fair odd
EV -0.283%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.099%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%25.92%25.84%27.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.553.503.8531.25%28.18%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aris Thessaloniki (Local): 53.78%; OFI Crete (Visit): 20.32%; Draw: 25.90%. For OFI Crete (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.92. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV +1.60%E +0.321%K +0.401%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.67%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.183%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.84%EV -7.28%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.03%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.27%EV -1.44%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 16:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.16%EV -15.03%E -9.51%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.16%EV -15.03%E -9.51%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -15.57%E -9.92%K -27.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -3.48%E -0.732%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -0.283%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -4.29%E -0.910%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.25%EV -7.53%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.19%E -6.10%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 16:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.42%EV -18.79%E -12.45%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.52%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.06%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 16:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.11%E -5.39%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -9.11%E -5.39%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 16:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.93%EV -12.34%E -7.57%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -11.60%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -12.88%E -7.95%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -12.01%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.95%EV -10.73%E -6.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -12.62%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.20%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -12.62%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -12.88%E -7.95%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-30 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.12%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -18.72%E -4.68%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -17.12%E -5.35%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 55.52% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.26% | -1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |