StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aris Thessaloniki v OFI Crete

Matchstart: 2026-08-30 16:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Aris Thessaloniki 2–1 OFI Crete

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aris Thessaloniki (Hemma)

Prognos 53.78%1.86rättvist odds
EV -3.74%
Fördel -2.09%
Kelly -4.73%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.79

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.12%53.75%53.83%56.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.511.691.701.7966.23%59.14%58.82%55.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

OFI Crete (Borta)

Prognos 20.32%4.92rättvist odds
EV +3.64%
Fördel +0.713%
Kelly +0.887%
Tillväxt +0.032%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.35%20.33%20.33%21.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.594.505.1025.00%21.77%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.90%3.86rättvist odds
EV -0.283%
Fördel -0.073%
Kelly -0.099%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.72%25.92%25.84%27.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.553.503.8531.25%28.18%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aris Thessaloniki (Hemma): 53.78%; OFI Crete (Borta): 20.32%; Oavgjort: 25.90%. För OFI Crete (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.92. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.64%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV +1.60%E +0.321%K +0.401%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.67%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.183%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.84%EV -7.28%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Suprabets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.03%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.27%EV -1.44%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:11
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.16%EV -15.03%E -9.51%K -25.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.16%EV -15.03%E -9.51%K -25.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -15.57%E -9.92%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -3.48%E -0.732%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -0.283%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:20
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -4.29%E -0.910%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.25%EV -7.53%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.19%E -6.10%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 16:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.42%EV -18.79%E -12.45%K -36.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.52%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.06%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-30 16:20
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:20
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:23
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.11%E -5.39%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:25
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -9.11%E -5.39%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 16:20
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 16:23
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.93%EV -12.34%E -7.57%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -11.60%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 16:20
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -12.88%E -7.95%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -12.01%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-30 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.95%EV -10.73%E -6.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -12.62%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.20%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -12.62%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 16:25
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 16:15
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 16:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -12.88%E -7.95%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-30 16:24
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.12%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -18.72%E -4.68%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -17.12%E -5.35%K -7.78%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 55.52%5.26I 19.01%NM 19.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.26%-1.0%2026-08-30 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%2.2%2026-08-30 16:25