Idioma:Español
Aris Thessaloniki v OFI Crete
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aris Thessaloniki (Local)
Predicción 53.78%1.86momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -4.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.12%53.75%53.83%56.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.691.701.7966.23%59.14%58.82%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
OFI Crete (Visitante)
Predicción 20.32%4.92momio equitativo
EV +3.64%
Ventaja +0.713%
Kelly +0.887%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.35%20.33%20.33%21.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.594.505.1025.00%21.77%22.22%19.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.90%3.86momio equitativo
EV -0.283%
Ventaja -0.073%
Kelly -0.099%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.72%25.92%25.84%27.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.553.503.8531.25%28.18%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aris Thessaloniki (Local): 53.78%; OFI Crete (Visitante): 20.32%; Empate: 25.90%. Para OFI Crete (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.92. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.64%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV +1.60%E +0.321%K +0.401%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.67%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.183%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.84%EV -7.28%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.03%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.27%EV -1.44%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 16:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.16%EV -15.03%E -9.51%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.16%EV -15.03%E -9.51%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -15.57%E -9.92%K -27.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -3.48%E -0.732%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -0.283%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -4.29%E -0.910%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.25%EV -7.53%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.19%E -6.10%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 16:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.42%EV -18.79%E -12.45%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.52%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.06%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 16:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.11%E -5.39%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -9.11%E -5.39%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 16:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.93%EV -12.34%E -7.57%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -11.60%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -12.88%E -7.95%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -12.01%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.95%EV -10.73%E -6.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -12.62%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.20%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -12.62%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -12.88%E -7.95%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-30 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.12%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -18.72%E -4.68%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -17.12%E -5.35%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 55.52% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.26% | -1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |