默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aris Thessaloniki v OFI Crete

开赛时间: 2026-08-30 16:30 UTC

最终结果: Aris Thessaloniki 2–1 OFI Crete

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aris Thessaloniki (主队)

预测 53.78%1.86公平赔率
EV -3.74%
优势 -2.09%
Kelly -4.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.79

博彩公司预测分布
51.12%53.75%53.83%56.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.691.701.7966.23%59.14%58.82%55.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

OFI Crete (客队)

预测 20.32%4.92公平赔率
EV +3.64%
优势 +0.713%
Kelly +0.887%
增长率 +0.032%

假设最高赔率为 5.10

博彩公司预测分布
18.35%20.33%20.33%21.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.594.505.1025.00%21.77%22.22%19.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.90%3.86公平赔率
EV -0.283%
优势 -0.073%
Kelly -0.099%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.72%25.92%25.84%27.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.553.503.8531.25%28.18%28.57%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Aris Thessaloniki (主队):53.78%;OFI Crete (客队):20.32%;平局:25.90%。 对于“OFI Crete (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.92。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.10,对应+3.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +3.64%E +0.713%K +0.887%G +0.032%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV +1.60%E +0.321%K +0.401%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.67%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.183%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.84%EV -7.28%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Suprabets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.03%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.27%EV -1.44%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:11
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.16%EV -15.03%E -9.51%K -25.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.16%EV -15.03%E -9.51%K -25.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -15.57%E -9.92%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -2.46%E -0.512%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -3.48%E -0.732%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -0.283%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:20
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -4.29%E -0.910%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.25%EV -7.53%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.19%E -6.10%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -4.49%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 16:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.42%EV -18.79%E -12.45%K -36.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.52%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.06%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-30 16:20
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:20
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:23
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.11%E -5.39%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:25
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -9.11%E -5.39%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 16:20
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 16:23
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.93%EV -12.34%E -7.57%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -11.60%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 16:20
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -12.88%E -7.95%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -12.01%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-30 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.95%EV -10.73%E -6.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -12.62%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.20%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -12.62%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 16:25
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 16:15
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 16:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -12.88%E -7.95%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.65%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-30 16:24
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.12%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -18.72%E -4.68%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -17.12%E -5.35%K -7.78%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-30 16:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 55.52%5.26I 19.01%NM 19.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.26%-1.0%2026-08-30 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%2.2%2026-08-30 16:25