Language:English
AEL v PAOK Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEL (Local)
Prediction 13.17%7.59fair odd
EV +5.39%
Edge +0.674%
Kelly +0.770%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.90%13.28%13.27%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.977.008.0017.39%14.35%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 63.03%1.59fair odd
EV -5.46%
Edge -3.64%
Kelly -10.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%62.93%63.02%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.451.441.5076.92%69.17%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.80%4.20fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -0.954%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%23.79%23.71%24.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.874.0428.57%26.03%25.84%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEL (Local): 13.17%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 63.03%; Draw: 23.80%. For AEL (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.59. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.15%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.15%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 15:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.15%EV +3.68%E +0.467%K +0.535%G +0.020% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.67%EV -3.86%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.26%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 15:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 15:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 15:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 15:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 15:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.38%EV -1.99%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 23.67%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -4.49%E -0.619%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-22 15:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-22 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-22 15:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.79%EV -11.13%E -7.89%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-22 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.76%E -8.40%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-22 15:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV -13.05%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.29%EV -7.98%E -5.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.38%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-22 15:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.67%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-22 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.73%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 63.64%EV -18.06%E -13.90%K -60.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.64%EV -16.71%E -4.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 20.9% | 2026-02-22 15:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.67%EV -17.00%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.41%EV -13.02%E -9.44%K -34.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.89%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.00%EV -11.76%E -8.40%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.83%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.17%EV -12.39%E -8.91%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-02-22 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -20.96%E -3.49%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.70%EV -20.96%E -3.49%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.10%EV -10.50%E -7.39%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-22 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-22 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-22 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-22 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-22 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.44% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42% | 1.7% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |