Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

AEL v PAOK Thessaloniki

Inizio: 2026-02-22 16:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

AEL (Casa)

Previsione 13.17%7.59quota equa
EV +5.39%
Vantaggio +0.674%
Kelly +0.770%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.90%13.28%13.27%15.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.756.977.008.0017.39%14.35%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Trasferta)

Previsione 63.03%1.59quota equa
EV -5.46%
Vantaggio -3.64%
Kelly -10.92%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.61%62.93%63.02%64.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.451.441.5076.92%69.17%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.80%4.20quota equa
EV -3.86%
Vantaggio -0.954%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.73%23.79%23.71%24.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.843.874.0428.57%26.03%25.84%24.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: AEL (Casa): 13.17%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Trasferta): 63.03%; Pareggio: 23.80%. Per AEL (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.59. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.39%.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.15%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.15%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 15:20
Coolbet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 15:49
Pinnacle🎯7.87I 12.71%NM 12.15%EV +3.68%E +0.467%K +0.535%G +0.020%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.67%EV -3.86%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 15:40
DraftKings🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.26%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:19
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 15:49
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:49
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:04
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:04
Casumo🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:04
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
BetUS🎯7.44I 13.44%NM 12.38%EV -1.99%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.67%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -4.49%E -0.619%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:49
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 15:04
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:30
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.79%EV -11.13%E -7.89%K -27.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 15:05
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.76%E -8.40%K -29.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV -13.05%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.29%EV -7.98%E -5.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:25
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.38%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:53
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.67%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 12.73%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 63.64%EV -18.06%E -13.90%K -60.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.64%EV -16.71%E -4.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%20.9%2026-02-22 15:49
NetBet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 13.67%EV -17.00%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.41%EV -13.02%E -9.44%K -34.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 15:40
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:20
Sky Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 13.89%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.00%EV -11.76%E -8.40%K -29.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-22 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 13.83%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.17%EV -12.39%E -8.91%K -31.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-22 15:55
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -20.96%E -3.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.70%EV -20.96%E -3.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.10%EV -10.50%E -7.39%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Neds🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:19
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-02-22 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-02-22 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-02-22 15:40
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-02-22 15:40