La escuela de los momios

AEL v PAOK Thessaloniki

Inicio: 2026-02-22 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AEL (Local)

Predicción 13.17%7.59momio equitativo
EV +5.39%
Ventaja +0.674%
Kelly +0.770%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.90%13.28%13.27%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.977.008.0017.39%14.35%14.29%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Predicción 63.03%1.59momio equitativo
EV -5.46%
Ventaja -3.64%
Kelly -10.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.61%62.93%63.02%64.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.451.441.5076.92%69.17%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.80%4.20momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -0.954%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.73%23.79%23.71%24.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.843.874.0428.57%26.03%25.84%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.15%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 15:20
BetOnline.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.15%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 15:20
Coolbet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 15:49
Pinnacle7.87I 12.71%NM 12.15%EV +3.68%E +0.467%K +0.535%G +0.020%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.67%EV -3.86%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 15:40
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.26%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:19
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 15:49
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:49
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:04
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:50
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:04
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:04
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
BetUS7.44I 13.44%NM 12.38%EV -1.99%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.67%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:40
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -4.49%E -0.619%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:49
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 15:54
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:45
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 15:04
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:30
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:40
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:30
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:40
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.79%EV -11.13%E -7.89%K -27.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 15:05
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.76%E -8.40%K -29.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 15:50
Codere (IT)6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV -13.05%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.29%EV -7.98%E -5.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:25
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.38%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:53
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.67%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 15:05
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 12.73%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 63.64%EV -18.06%E -13.90%K -60.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.64%EV -16.71%E -4.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%20.9%2026-02-22 15:49
NetBet (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 13.67%EV -17.00%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.41%EV -13.02%E -9.44%K -34.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 15:40
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 15:20
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:20
Sky Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 13.89%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.00%EV -11.76%E -8.40%K -29.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-22 15:30
Unibet (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 13.83%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.17%EV -12.39%E -8.91%K -31.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-22 15:55
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -20.96%E -3.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.70%EV -20.96%E -3.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.10%EV -10.50%E -7.39%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Neds5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:19
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-02-22 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-02-22 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-02-22 15:40
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-02-22 15:40