L’École des cotes

AEL v PAOK Thessaloniki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AEL (Local)

Prévision 13.17%7.59cote équitable
EV +5.39%
Avantage +0.674%
Kelly +0.770%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.90%13.28%13.27%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.977.008.0017.39%14.35%14.29%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.03%1.59cote équitable
EV -5.46%
Avantage -3.64%
Kelly -10.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.61%62.93%63.02%64.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.451.441.5076.92%69.17%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.80%4.20cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -0.954%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.73%23.79%23.71%24.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.843.874.0428.57%26.03%25.84%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.15%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 15:20
BetOnline.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.15%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 15:20
Coolbet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +5.39%E +0.674%K +0.770%G +0.042%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 15:49
Pinnacle7.87I 12.71%NM 12.15%EV +3.68%E +0.467%K +0.535%G +0.020%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.67%EV -3.86%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 15:40
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.26%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:19
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 15:49
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:49
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:04
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:50
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:04
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:04
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.20%E -0.159%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
BetUS7.44I 13.44%NM 12.38%EV -1.99%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.67%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:40
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -4.49%E -0.619%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:49
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 15:54
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:45
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 15:04
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:30
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:40
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:30
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:40
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.79%EV -11.13%E -7.89%K -27.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 15:05
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.78%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.76%E -8.40%K -29.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 15:50
Codere (IT)6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV -13.05%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.29%EV -7.98%E -5.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:25
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.38%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:53
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.67%EV -9.24%E -6.42%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 15:05
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 12.73%EV -14.37%E -2.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 63.64%EV -18.06%E -13.90%K -60.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.64%EV -16.71%E -4.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%20.9%2026-02-22 15:49
NetBet (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 13.67%EV -17.00%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.41%EV -13.02%E -9.44%K -34.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 15:40
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 15:20
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:20
Sky Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 13.89%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.00%EV -11.76%E -8.40%K -29.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-22 15:30
Unibet (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 13.83%EV -17.66%E -2.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.17%EV -12.39%E -8.91%K -31.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-22 15:55
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -20.96%E -3.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.70%EV -20.96%E -3.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.10%EV -10.50%E -7.39%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Neds5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:19
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -24.25%E -4.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-02-22 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-02-22 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-02-22 15:40
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-02-22 15:40