Language:English
AEL v Atromitos Athens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEL (Local)
Prediction 41.30%2.42fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%41.27%41.35%41.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.252.252.3548.31%44.51%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atromitos Athens (Visit)
Prediction 31.07%3.22fair odd
EV +2.53%
Edge +0.766%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.40%30.95%31.04%31.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.942.953.3037.04%34.05%33.90%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.63%3.62fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.81%27.78%27.61%29.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.02%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEL (Local): 41.30%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 31.07%; Draw: 27.63%. For Atromitos Athens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV +2.53%E +0.766%K +1.10%G +0.028% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV +2.53%E +0.766%K +1.10%G +0.028% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.93%EV -6.24%E -2.75%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.27%EV -3.58%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -7.89%E -3.54%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.73%EV -12.39%E -4.39%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.14%EV -12.15%E -3.82%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.64%EV -14.50%E -7.00%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.56%EV -12.39%E -4.39%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.80%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.56%EV -7.89%E -3.54%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -15.74%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.26%E -6.31%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -11.19%E -5.21%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -17.12%E -5.71%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -13.26%E -6.31%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -14.56%E -5.30%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.11%E -5.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -17.12%E -5.71%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |