مدرسة الاحتمالات

AEL v Atromitos Athens

البداية: 2026-05-16 16:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: AEL 2–1 Atromitos Athens

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

AEL (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.30%2.42السعر العادل
EV -2.93%
الأفضلية -1.25%
Kelly -2.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.24%41.27%41.35%41.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.072.252.252.3548.31%44.51%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atromitos Athens (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.07%3.22السعر العادل
EV +2.53%
الأفضلية +0.766%
Kelly +1.10%
النمو +0.028%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.40%30.95%31.04%31.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.942.953.3037.04%34.05%33.90%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.63%3.62السعر العادل
EV -3.31%
الأفضلية -0.945%
Kelly -1.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.81%27.78%27.61%29.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.02%31.25%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV +2.53%E +0.766%K +1.10%G +0.028%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV +2.53%E +0.766%K +1.10%G +0.028%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 41.93%EV -6.24%E -2.75%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.27%EV -3.58%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 15:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 15:58
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 15:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 15:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 15:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 15:56
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 15:59
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 15:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 16:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 15:59
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 16:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -7.89%E -3.54%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.73%EV -12.39%E -4.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.14%EV -12.15%E -3.82%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 15:58
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.64%EV -14.50%E -7.00%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.56%EV -12.39%E -4.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.80%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 16:00
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.56%EV -7.89%E -3.54%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -15.74%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 16:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.26%E -6.31%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 15:59
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -11.19%E -5.21%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -17.12%E -5.71%K -8.56%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-16 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -13.26%E -6.31%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -14.56%E -5.30%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.11%E -5.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -17.12%E -5.71%K -8.56%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-16 16:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%1.6%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-05-16 16:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.9%2026-05-16 16:00