La escuela de los momiosEspañol
AEL v Atromitos Athens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AEL (Local)
Predicción 41.30%2.42momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%41.27%41.35%41.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.252.252.3548.31%44.51%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atromitos Athens (Visitante)
Predicción 31.07%3.22momio equitativo
EV +2.53%
Ventaja +0.766%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.40%30.95%31.04%31.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.942.953.3037.04%34.05%33.90%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.63%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -0.945%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.81%27.78%27.61%29.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.02%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV +2.53%E +0.766%K +1.10%G +0.028% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV +2.53%E +0.766%K +1.10%G +0.028% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.93%EV -6.24%E -2.75%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.27%EV -3.58%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:56 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -7.89%E -3.54%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.73%EV -12.39%E -4.39%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.14%EV -12.15%E -3.82%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.64%EV -14.50%E -7.00%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.56%EV -12.39%E -4.39%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.80%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.56%EV -7.89%E -3.54%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -15.74%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.26%E -6.31%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -11.19%E -5.21%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -17.12%E -5.71%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -13.26%E -6.31%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -14.56%E -5.30%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.11%E -5.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -17.12%E -5.71%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |