La scuola delle quote

AEL v Atromitos Athens

Inizio: 2026-05-16 16:02 UTC

Finale: AEL 2–1 Atromitos Athens

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AEL (Casa)

Previsione 41.30%2.42quota equa
EV -2.93%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.24%41.27%41.35%41.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.252.252.3548.31%44.51%44.44%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atromitos Athens (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.07%3.22quota equa
EV +2.53%
Vantaggio +0.766%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescita +0.028%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.40%30.95%31.04%31.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.942.953.3037.04%34.05%33.90%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.63%3.62quota equa
EV -3.31%
Vantaggio -0.945%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.81%27.78%27.61%29.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.02%31.25%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV +2.53%E +0.766%K +1.10%G +0.028%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV +2.53%E +0.766%K +1.10%G +0.028%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 41.93%EV -6.24%E -2.75%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.27%EV -3.58%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 15:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 15:58
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 15:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 15:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 15:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 15:56
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 15:59
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 15:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 16:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 15:59
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -5.00%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 16:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -7.89%E -3.54%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.73%EV -12.39%E -4.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.14%EV -12.15%E -3.82%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 15:58
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.64%EV -14.50%E -7.00%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.56%EV -12.39%E -4.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.80%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 16:00
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.56%EV -7.89%E -3.54%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -15.74%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 16:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.26%E -6.31%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 15:59
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -11.19%E -5.21%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -17.12%E -5.71%K -8.56%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-16 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -13.26%E -6.31%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -14.56%E -5.30%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -9.13%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.11%E -5.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -17.12%E -5.71%K -8.56%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-16 16:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%1.6%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-05-16 16:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.9%2026-05-16 16:00