Школа коэффициентов

AEL v Asteras Tripolis

Начало: 2026-05-09 14:02 UTC

Итог: AEL 1–1 Asteras Tripolis

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

44 букмекерские конторы (13 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

AEL (Хозяева)

Прогноз 35.58%2.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.88%
Преимущество -1.05%
Kelly -1.66%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.73

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
33.77%35.49%35.46%36.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.592.602.7341.67%38.55%38.46%36.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Asteras Tripolis (Гости)

Прогноз 33.93%2.95справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.65%
Преимущество -1.28%
Kelly -1.98%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.84

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
33.17%34.00%33.99%35.21%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.552.672.672.8439.22%37.39%37.52%35.21%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.50%3.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.93%
Преимущество -1.25%
Kelly -1.83%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.57%30.51%30.55%31.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.44%33.33%31.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (44 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.28%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.04%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 13:59
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 14:00
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:59
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:59
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.37%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.37%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -3.93%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:58
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 13:59
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 13:57
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -4.85%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:00
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -12.47%E -4.35%K -6.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:00
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:59
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -12.17%E -4.22%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -10.77%E -4.10%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -16.13%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.84%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.84%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.70%EV -13.55%E -5.58%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -9.08%E -3.39%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -9.42%E -3.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 13:57
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.35%EV -13.91%E -5.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.55%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -16.13%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-09 14:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.45%EV -14.62%E -6.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.39%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 13:58
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.02%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%2.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%3.9%2026-05-09 14:00