A Escola das Odds

AEL v Asteras Tripolis

Início: 2026-05-09 14:02 UTC

Final: AEL 1–1 Asteras Tripolis

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AEL (Local)

Previsão 35.58%2.81odd justa
EV -2.88%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.77%35.49%35.46%36.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.592.602.7341.67%38.55%38.46%36.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Asteras Tripolis (Visitante)

Previsão 33.93%2.95odd justa
EV -3.65%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.17%34.00%33.99%35.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.672.672.8439.22%37.39%37.52%35.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.50%3.28odd justa
EV -3.93%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.57%30.51%30.55%31.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.44%33.33%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.28%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.04%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 13:59
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 14:00
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:59
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:59
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.37%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.37%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -3.93%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:58
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 13:59
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 13:57
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -4.85%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:00
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -12.47%E -4.35%K -6.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:00
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:59
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -12.17%E -4.22%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -10.77%E -4.10%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -16.13%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.84%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.84%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.70%EV -13.55%E -5.58%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -9.08%E -3.39%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -9.42%E -3.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 13:57
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.35%EV -13.91%E -5.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.55%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -16.13%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-09 14:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.45%EV -14.62%E -6.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.39%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 13:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.02%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%2.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%3.9%2026-05-09 14:00