La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
AEL v Asteras Tripolis
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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AEL (Casa)
Previsione 35.58%2.81quota equa
EV -2.88%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.77%35.49%35.46%36.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.592.602.7341.67%38.55%38.46%36.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Asteras Tripolis (Trasferta)
Previsione 33.93%2.95quota equa
EV -3.65%
Vantaggio -1.28%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.84
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.17%34.00%33.99%35.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.672.672.8439.22%37.39%37.52%35.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.50%3.28quota equa
EV -3.93%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.57%30.51%30.55%31.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.44%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.28%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.04%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.37%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.37%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -3.93%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 13:57 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -4.85%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -12.47%E -4.35%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -12.17%E -4.22%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -10.77%E -4.10%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -16.13%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.84%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.84%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.70%EV -13.55%E -5.58%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -9.08%E -3.39%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -9.42%E -3.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 13:57 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.35%EV -13.91%E -5.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.55%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -16.13%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.45%EV -14.62%E -6.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.39%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.02% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.61% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |