L’École des cotesAEL v Asteras Tripolis
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AEL (Local)
Prévision 35.58%2.81cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.77%35.49%35.46%36.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.602.7341.67%38.55%38.46%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Asteras Tripolis (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.93%2.95cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.17%34.00%33.99%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.672.672.8439.22%37.39%37.52%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.50%3.28cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -1.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.57%30.51%30.55%31.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.44%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.28%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.04%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.37%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.37%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -3.93%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 13:57 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -4.85%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -12.47%E -4.35%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -12.17%E -4.22%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -10.77%E -4.10%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -11.79%E -4.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -16.13%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.84%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.84%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.70%EV -13.55%E -5.58%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -9.08%E -3.39%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -9.42%E -3.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 13:57 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.35%EV -13.91%E -5.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.55%EV -13.49%E -5.29%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -16.13%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.45%EV -14.62%E -6.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.39%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.56%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.02% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.61% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |